Projecting the 2016 Cubs

[Transmogrified Tiger]

when the [expletive] is our zips coming out?

this week, per Szymborski

[David]

[JennieGarthAlgar]

[DiceMan4221]

Sooooo glad to see the above gif after reading that tweet. I THINK I might have half a clue what the tweeter was attempting to do, but I have 0% of a clue what insight the actual stats and comps in the tweet should provide.

[Tim]

Sooooo glad to see the above gif after reading that tweet. I THINK I might have half a clue what the tweeter was attempting to do, but I have 0% of a clue what insight the actual stats and comps in the tweet should provide.

The hidden columns show what Cubs pitchers go with that forecast and comp. The top ones are pretty easy.

[DiceMan4221]

Sooooo glad to see the above gif after reading that tweet. I THINK I might have half a clue what the tweeter was attempting to do, but I have 0% of a clue what insight the actual stats and comps in the tweet should provide.

The hidden columns show what Cubs pitchers go with that forecast and comp. The top ones are pretty easy.

...but why should I care that Arrieta is as good as some random year of Oral? Or that (maybe) Hendricks is as good as a feisty pock-marked turncoat? I can't see the mystery column so why should I give a flying poo? Most of those names mean absolutely nothing to me.

[The Logan]

I'm more perplexed by the use of "offensive comp" when talking about pitchers.

[Cubswin11]

I'm more perplexed by the use of "offensive comp" when talking about pitchers.

It's quite possible after seeing the projected awesomeness Symborski's brain was melted a little bit.

[David]

Carson Cistulli ‏@cistulli 5m5 minutes ago
Rough depth chart for Cubs with projected WAR c/o @DSzymborski. Full post tomorrow at FanGraphs dot internet.

[Transmogrified Tiger]

Holy smokes, 50 fWAR. I don't think I've ever seen that.

[David]

[JennieGarthAlgar]

I'm more perplexed by the use of "offensive comp" when talking about pitchers.

I thought that kind of confusing, too. And I had no idea there was a hidden column.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Carson Cistulli ‏@cistulli 5m5 minutes ago
Rough depth chart for Cubs with projected WAR c/o @DSzymborski. Full post tomorrow at FanGraphs dot internet.

[CubinNY]

How accurate is this stuff?

[JennieGarthAlgar]

How accurate is this stuff?

Usually 1000%

[jersey cubs fan]

How accurate is this stuff?

Usually 1000%

http://youtu.be/pjvQFtlNQ-M

[David]

last year's projections had us around 85-86 wins IIRC, which is pretty good considering we had so many things go right and had a 90 win pythag. they were definitely much closer than any of the "expert" prognosticators.

oh and none of the systems liked arrieta all that much.

[Cubswin11]

Here they are....http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2016-zip ... cago-cubs/

[UMFan83]

Among position players, the strengths are unsurprising. Kris Bryant, Jason Heyward, and Anthony Rizzo amassed a total of 18 wins between them in 2015. Because negative regression is the rule, and not the exception, with regard to these sorts of star-level performances, ZiPS doesn’t call for an exact repeat of last year’s production. As a trio, however, that group is expected to log around 15 wins. That figure alone would represent a better mark than the overall totals posted by the position players of eight clubs in 2015.

Man it's fun being a Cubs fan these days.

[CubInOK]

All that, and they only project Soler for 1 WAR...

[The Logan]

All that, and they only project Soler for 1 WAR...

I was gonna say they're not too fond of Jorge. If he breaks out and starts fulfilling some of that potential then this team is gonna be other worldy, which they're already pretty close to.

[davell]

I think Russell IS a 4 WAR guy in 2016. Granted, it's only 1 from where he's projected at, but that's something anyway.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

All that, and they only project Soler for 1 WAR...

Probably a little high, but I guess I can see it.

[bukie]

Cubs have 5 players projected to 5 WAR or higher. The other 11 projections combined have 7 players projected to 5 WAR or higher (Donaldson, Price, Betts, Machado, McCutchen, Felix Hernandez, Votto).

[minnesotacubsfan]

Cubs have 5 players projected to 5 WAR or higher. The other 11 projections combined have 7 players projected to 5 WAR or higher (Donaldson, Price, Betts, Machado, McCutchen, Felix Hernandez, Votto).

I mean HOLY [expletive]