Free Agency Predictions

SRQCub
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Free Agency Predictions

Postby SRQCub » Fri Nov 13, 2015 8:09 pm

Alright, let's pick the destinations for the Top 20(ish) Free Agents (no contract details... just player and destination.)

1. Zack Greinke
2. David Price
3. Jason Heyward
4. Chris Davis
5. Justin Upton
6. Johnny Cueto
7. Yoenis Cespedes
8. Alex Gordon
9. Jordan Zimmermann
10. Jeff Samardzija
11. Mike Leake
12. Denard Span
13. Kenta Maeda
14. Wei-Yin Chen
15. Dexter Fowler
16. Daniel Murphy
17. Scott Kazmir
18. Ian Kennedy
19. Yovanni Gallardo
20. Ben Zobrist

BONUS: Predict 3 trades you expect to see
Last edited by SRQCub on Fri Nov 13, 2015 8:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.

davell
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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby davell » Fri Nov 13, 2015 8:17 pm

I'd be OK with it.
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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby Tryptamine » Fri Nov 13, 2015 8:20 pm

davell wrote:I'd be OK with it.


I'm usually quite good at guessing the contract, but rather awful at picking the teams.

SRQCub
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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby SRQCub » Fri Nov 13, 2015 8:41 pm

MLBTR also has an online contest, though I don't want to go with that many guesses.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015-16-m ... on-contest

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby MarkMero23 » Sat Nov 14, 2015 8:10 am

Why not?

1. Zack Greinke - Red Sox
2. David Price - Cardinals
3. Jason Heyward - Dodgers
4. Chris Davis - Mariners
5. Justin Upton - Mets
6. Johnny Cueto - Giants
7. Yoenis Cespedes - Tigers
8. Alex Gordon - Royals
9. Jordan Zimmermann - Cubs
10. Jeff Samardzija - Yankees
11. Mike Leake - Twins
12. Denard Span - Indians
13. Kenta Maeda - Diamondbacks
14. Wei-Yin Chen - Orioles
15. Dexter Fowler - Indians
16. Daniel Murphy - Dodgers
17. Scott Kazmir - Angels
18. Ian Kennedy - Nationals
19. Yovanni Gallardo - Red Sox
20. Ben Zobrist - Nationals

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Tim
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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby Tim » Sat Nov 14, 2015 8:31 am

MarkMero23 wrote:Why not?

1. Zack Greinke - Red Sox
2. David Price - Cardinals
3. Jason Heyward - Dodgers
4. Chris Davis - Mariners
5. Justin Upton - Mets
6. Johnny Cueto - Giants
7. Yoenis Cespedes - Tigers
8. Alex Gordon - Royals
9. Jordan Zimmermann - Cubs
10. Jeff Samardzija - Yankees
11. Mike Leake - Twins
12. Denard Span - Indians
13. Kenta Maeda - Diamondbacks
14. Wei-Yin Chen - Orioles
15. Dexter Fowler - Indians
16. Daniel Murphy - Dodgers
17. Scott Kazmir - Angels
18. Ian Kennedy - Nationals
19. Yovanni Gallardo - Red Sox
20. Ben Zobrist - Nationals

That would be...disappointing.

Zimmermann is my least favorite of the starters in that tier.
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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby MarkMero23 » Sat Nov 14, 2015 8:54 am

Tim wrote:
MarkMero23 wrote:Why not?

1. Zack Greinke - Red Sox
2. David Price - Cardinals
3. Jason Heyward - Dodgers
4. Chris Davis - Mariners
5. Justin Upton - Mets
6. Johnny Cueto - Giants
7. Yoenis Cespedes - Tigers
8. Alex Gordon - Royals
9. Jordan Zimmermann - Cubs
10. Jeff Samardzija - Yankees
11. Mike Leake - Twins
12. Denard Span - Indians
13. Kenta Maeda - Diamondbacks
14. Wei-Yin Chen - Orioles
15. Dexter Fowler - Indians
16. Daniel Murphy - Dodgers
17. Scott Kazmir - Angels
18. Ian Kennedy - Nationals
19. Yovanni Gallardo - Red Sox
20. Ben Zobrist - Nationals

That would be...disappointing.

Zimmermann is my least favorite of the starters in that tier.


I can see that, though he'd make a very good number 3 starter. I just don't see the Cubs allocating all that money to Price or Greinke, when they just signed Lester to a big deal and they already have one of the top 5 pitchers in baseball with Arrieta. I think they just need to shore up the pitching staff more than they need another elite starter.

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby SRQCub » Sat Nov 14, 2015 9:57 am

1. Zack Greinke- Dodgers
2. David Price- Cubs
3. Jason Heyward- Cubs
4. Chris Davis- Cardinals
5. Justin Upton- Orioles
6. Johnny Cueto- Red Sox
7. Yoenis Cespedes- Angels
8. Alex Gordon- Royals
9. Jordan Zimmermann- Tigers
10. Jeff Samardzija- Giants
11. Mike Leake- Cardinals
12. Denard Span- Red Sox
13. Kenta Maeda- Diamondbacks
14. Wei-Yin Chen- Blue Jays
15. Dexter Fowler- Tigers
16. Daniel Murphy- Dodgers
17. Scott Kazmir- Angels
18. Ian Kennedy- Padres
19. Yovanni Gallardo- Giants
20. Ben Zobrist- Nationals

The only trade I *expect* to see is something like Harvey to the Red Sox for Mookie Betts. I think the Red Sox think they're close to competing in the AL East, and adding Harvey, Cueto and Span may prove them correct.

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby NOLA » Sat Nov 14, 2015 10:47 am

If the Cards don't resign Heyward, they have to be targeting Chris Davis. I'd expect either way, they'll then go next tier starter with Zimmermann or Leake.

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby Backtobanks » Sat Nov 14, 2015 12:06 pm

SRQCub wrote:1. Zack Greinke- Dodgers
2. David Price- Cubs
3. Jason Heyward- Cubs
4. Chris Davis- Cardinals
5. Justin Upton- Orioles
6. Johnny Cueto- Red Sox
7. Yoenis Cespedes- Angels
8. Alex Gordon- Royals
9. Jordan Zimmermann- Tigers
10. Jeff Samardzija- Giants
11. Mike Leake- Cardinals
12. Denard Span- Red Sox
13. Kenta Maeda- Diamondbacks
14. Wei-Yin Chen- Blue Jays
15. Dexter Fowler- Tigers
16. Daniel Murphy- Dodgers
17. Scott Kazmir- Angels
18. Ian Kennedy- Padres
19. Yovanni Gallardo- Giants
20. Ben Zobrist- Nationals

The only trade I *expect* to see is something like Harvey to the Red Sox for Mookie Betts. I think the Red Sox think they're close to competing in the AL East, and adding Harvey, Cueto and Span may prove them correct.


Cubs sign Price and Heyward? There must be another ticket price increase coming tomorrow.

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby nolanwood » Sat Nov 14, 2015 12:28 pm

Backtobanks wrote:
SRQCub wrote:1. Zack Greinke- Dodgers
2. David Price- Cubs
3. Jason Heyward- Cubs
4. Chris Davis- Cardinals
5. Justin Upton- Orioles
6. Johnny Cueto- Red Sox
7. Yoenis Cespedes- Angels
8. Alex Gordon- Royals
9. Jordan Zimmermann- Tigers
10. Jeff Samardzija- Giants
11. Mike Leake- Cardinals
12. Denard Span- Red Sox
13. Kenta Maeda- Diamondbacks
14. Wei-Yin Chen- Blue Jays
15. Dexter Fowler- Tigers
16. Daniel Murphy- Dodgers
17. Scott Kazmir- Angels
18. Ian Kennedy- Padres
19. Yovanni Gallardo- Giants
20. Ben Zobrist- Nationals

The only trade I *expect* to see is something like Harvey to the Red Sox for Mookie Betts. I think the Red Sox think they're close to competing in the AL East, and adding Harvey, Cueto and Span may prove them correct.


Cubs sign Price and Heyward? There must be another ticket price increase coming tomorrow.


No kidding! I predict they sign neither. I don't see them shelling out any 9-figure contracts this offseason.

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby David » Sat Nov 14, 2015 12:42 pm

nolanwood wrote:
No kidding! I predict they sign neither. I don't see them shelling out any 9-figure contracts this offseason.


anything can happen, but they sure don't sound like that's the case (that they won't sign any 9 figure player)
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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby BigbadB » Sat Nov 14, 2015 1:03 pm

The Cubs will probably be in play for all the big names, but I don't see them taking the "won't be outbid" attitude with anyone. And I don't think they need to. A couple of subtle improvements will make this team better than last year. Anything above that is just added bonus. As quiet as the Cubs were at the trade deadline this past year, I could see them being the noisiest team this coming year if they don't land one of the prize free agents this winter.

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby davell » Sat Nov 14, 2015 1:26 pm

Zack Greinke- Dodgers@ 6/186
David Price- Giants@ 7/217
Jason Heyward-Cubs@ 10/215
Chris Davis-Astros@ 7/175
Justin Upton-Angels@6/132
Johnny Cueto- Red Sox@5/105
Yoenis Cespedes- White Sox@ 6/144
Alex Gordon- Mariners@5/95
Jordan Zimmermann- Dodgers@ 6/120
Jeff Samardzija- Cards@ 4/64
Mike Leake- Tigers@ 5/80
Denard Span-Mets@ 1/12
Kenta Maeda- Cubs@20M Posting Fee + 6/52
Wei Yen Chen- Angels@5/85
Dexter Fowler-Tigers-@4/68
Daniel Murphy- Diamondbacks@4/48
Scott Kazmir- Pirates@ 3/42
Ian Kennedy- Nats@3/30 in June
Yovani Gallardo- Diamondbacks@3/39
Ben Zobrist- Cards@4/68

Few more predictions on FA

Ian Desmond- Padres-5/80
Howie Kendrick-White Sox 3/39
Hisashi Iwakuma- Mariners 2/32
Darren O'Day- Dodgers 4/36
David Freese-Angels 2/24
John Lackey-Giants 3/45
JA Happ- Orioles 2/20
Asdrubal Cabrera- Phillies 1/11
Doug Fister-Pirates 2/20
Joakim Soria- Tigers 3/24



Other Cubs signings- Gerardo Parra 3/24 and Bud Norris1/2.5 and bonuses

Cubs Cuban Signings- P Vladimir Gutierrez- 4.5 mill, P Norge Ruiz- 7 mill, P Cionel Perez- 2 mill, INF Randy Arozarena- 2.25 mill, 2B Omar Estevez- 1.75 mill



Trades- Javy/P Johnson/Hammel for Teheran/Grilli, Coghlan to Giants for LHP Josh Osich and LHP Mac Marshall

MLB Trades

CarGo to KC for Hunter Dozier, Miguel Almonte, Kyle Zimmer and Danny Duffy

Chapman to Toronto for Dalton Pompey and Sean Reid-Foley

Carrasco to Red Sox for JBJ, Henry Owens, and Rafael Devers
Last edited by davell on Sat Nov 14, 2015 10:32 pm, edited 5 times in total.
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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby bukie » Sat Nov 14, 2015 2:20 pm

1. Zack Greinke - Yankees
2. David Price - Yankees
3. Jason Heyward - Yankees
4. Chris Davis - Yankees
5. Justin Upton - Yankees
6. Johnny Cueto - Yankees
7. Yoenis Cespedes - Yankees
8. Alex Gordon - Yankees
9. Jordan Zimmermann - Yankees
10. Jeff Samardzija - Yankees
11. Mike Leake - Yankees
12. Denard Span - Yankees
13. Kenta Maeda - Yankees
14. Wei-Yin Chen - Yankees
15. Dexter Fowler - Yankees
16. Daniel Murphy - Yankees
17. Scott Kazmir - Yankees
18. Ian Kennedy - Yankees
19. Yovanni Gallardo - Yankees
20. Ben Zobrist - Yankees

I'll be the control.
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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby rawaction » Sat Nov 14, 2015 2:27 pm

davell wrote:Zack Greinke- Dodgers@ 6/186
David Price- Giants@ 7/217
Jason Heyward-Cubs@ 10/215
Chris Davis-Astros@ 7/175
Justin Upton-Angels@6/132
Johnny Cueto- Red Sox@5/105
Yoenis Cespedes- White Sox@ 6/144
Alex Gordon- Mariners@5/95
Jordan Zimmermann- Dodgers@ 6/120
Jeff Samardzija- Cards@ 4/64
Mike Leake- Tigers@ 5/80
Denard Span-Mets@ 1/12
Kenta Maeda- Cubs@20M Posting Fee + 6/52
Wei Yen Chen- Angels@5/85
Dexter Fowler-Tigers-@4/68
Daniel Murphy- Diamondbacks@4/48
Scott Kazmir- Pirates@ 3/42
Ian Kennedy- Nats@3/30 in June
Yovani Gallardo- Diamondbacks@3/39
Ben Zobrist- Cards@4/68

Other Cubs signings- Gerardo Parra 3/24 and Bud Norris1/2.5 and bonuses

Trades- Javy/P Johnson/Hammel for Teheran/Grilli

I'll try to come up with a few MLB trades later on.


Is Parra really going to get that much? I definitely don't want to pay him that much with Heyward also coming here. I'd rather play Heyward in CF than Parra, and that's a lot of OFs with Parra, Heyward, Soler, and Schwarber. I like Bud Norris as the reclamation/6th starter. One of my low key targets I'd like to see the Cubs add.

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby davell » Sat Nov 14, 2015 2:46 pm

rawaction wrote:
davell wrote:Zack Greinke- Dodgers@ 6/186
David Price- Giants@ 7/217
Jason Heyward-Cubs@ 10/215
Chris Davis-Astros@ 7/175
Justin Upton-Angels@6/132
Johnny Cueto- Red Sox@5/105
Yoenis Cespedes- White Sox@ 6/144
Alex Gordon- Mariners@5/95
Jordan Zimmermann- Dodgers@ 6/120
Jeff Samardzija- Cards@ 4/64
Mike Leake- Tigers@ 5/80
Denard Span-Mets@ 1/12
Kenta Maeda- Cubs@20M Posting Fee + 6/52
Wei Yen Chen- Angels@5/85
Dexter Fowler-Tigers-@4/68
Daniel Murphy- Diamondbacks@4/48
Scott Kazmir- Pirates@ 3/42
Ian Kennedy- Nats@3/30 in June
Yovani Gallardo- Diamondbacks@3/39
Ben Zobrist- Cards@4/68

Other Cubs signings- Gerardo Parra 3/24 and Bud Norris1/2.5 and bonuses

Trades- Javy/P Johnson/Hammel for Teheran/Grilli

I'll try to come up with a few MLB trades later on.


Is Parra really going to get that much? I definitely don't want to pay him that much with Heyward also coming here. I'd rather play Heyward in CF than Parra, and that's a lot of OFs with Parra, Heyward, Soler, and Schwarber. I like Bud Norris as the reclamation/6th starter. One of my low key targets I'd like to see the Cubs add.


I honestly have no feel for his contract. I almost went 2/12 there but thought it was light. In this scenario, we'd deal Coghlan. Need to add that in my scenario, I guess. At any rate, I kind of figure Parra as the 4th OF, but finds his way to 450 PA.
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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby rawaction » Sat Nov 14, 2015 3:04 pm

davell wrote:
rawaction wrote:
davell wrote:Zack Greinke- Dodgers@ 6/186
David Price- Giants@ 7/217
Jason Heyward-Cubs@ 10/215
Chris Davis-Astros@ 7/175
Justin Upton-Angels@6/132
Johnny Cueto- Red Sox@5/105
Yoenis Cespedes- White Sox@ 6/144
Alex Gordon- Mariners@5/95
Jordan Zimmermann- Dodgers@ 6/120
Jeff Samardzija- Cards@ 4/64
Mike Leake- Tigers@ 5/80
Denard Span-Mets@ 1/12
Kenta Maeda- Cubs@20M Posting Fee + 6/52
Wei Yen Chen- Angels@5/85
Dexter Fowler-Tigers-@4/68
Daniel Murphy- Diamondbacks@4/48
Scott Kazmir- Pirates@ 3/42
Ian Kennedy- Nats@3/30 in June
Yovani Gallardo- Diamondbacks@3/39
Ben Zobrist- Cards@4/68

Other Cubs signings- Gerardo Parra 3/24 and Bud Norris1/2.5 and bonuses

Trades- Javy/P Johnson/Hammel for Teheran/Grilli

I'll try to come up with a few MLB trades later on.


Is Parra really going to get that much? I definitely don't want to pay him that much with Heyward also coming here. I'd rather play Heyward in CF than Parra, and that's a lot of OFs with Parra, Heyward, Soler, and Schwarber. I like Bud Norris as the reclamation/6th starter. One of my low key targets I'd like to see the Cubs add.


I honestly have no feel for his contract. I almost went 2/12 there but thought it was light. In this scenario, we'd deal Coghlan. Need to add that in my scenario, I guess. At any rate, I kind of figure Parra as the 4th OF, but finds his way to 450 PA.


Forgot about Coghlan too. But I'd be cool with that if Cogs is traded and at the 2/12 contract for Parra as the 4th OF.

Arrieta, Lester, Teheran, Maeda, Hendricks, Norris is a good rotation if Maeda is any good. Could be better, but pretty realistic.
Schwarber, Heyward, Soler, Parra is the best offensive OF in the league. And the IF isn't bad.

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby XZero77 » Sat Nov 14, 2015 3:15 pm

1. Zack Greinke - Dodgers
2. David Price - Cubs
3. Jason Heyward - Cardinals
4. Chris Davis - Mariners
5. Justin Upton - Yankees
6. Johnny Cueto - Blue Jays
7. Yoenis Cespedes - White Sox
8. Alex Gordon - Royals
9. Jordan Zimmermann - Giants
10. Jeff Samardzija - Orioles
11. Mike Leake - Giants
12. Denard Span - Indians
13. Kenta Maeda - Mariners
14. Wei-Yin Chen - Diamondbacks
15. Dexter Fowler - Nationals
16. Daniel Murphy - Angels
17. Scott Kazmir - Astros
18. Ian Kennedy - Cardinals
19. Yovanni Gallardo - Rangers
20. Ben Zobrist - Cardinals

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby Transmogrified Tiger » Sat Nov 14, 2015 3:47 pm

davell wrote:Jason Heyward-Cubs@ 10/215
Kenta Maeda- Cubs@20M Posting Fee + 6/52

Other Cubs signings- Gerardo Parra 3/24 and Bud Norris1/2.5 and bonuses

Trades- Javy/P Johnson/Hammel for Teheran/Grilli

I'll try to come up with a few MLB trades later on.


Heyward, Maeda, Parra, trading for Teheran, & adding a reliever or two(Grilli, trading Coghlan, Cahill, etc) would be a terrific offseason.

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby rawaction » Sat Nov 14, 2015 3:58 pm

1. Zack Greinke- Dodgers
2. David Price - Cubs
3. Jason Heyward- Yankees
4. Chris Davis- Cardinals
5. Justin Upton- Tigers
6. Johnny Cueto- Red Sox
7. Yoenis Cespedes- Orioles
8. Alex Gordon- Royals
9. Jordan Zimmermann- Blue Jays
10. Jeff Samardzija- Giants
11. Mike Leake- Orioles
12. Denard Span- Cubs
13. Kenta Maeda- Mariners
14. Wei-Yin Chen- Pirates
15. Dexter Fowler- Nationals
16. Daniel Murphy- A's
17. Scott Kazmir- Rangers
18. Ian Kennedy- Padres
19. Yovanni Gallardo- Angels
20. Ben Zobrist- Yankees

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby SRQCub » Mon Nov 30, 2015 10:40 pm

SRQCub wrote:1. Zack Greinke- Dodgers
2. David Price- Cubs
3. Jason Heyward- Cubs
4. Chris Davis- Cardinals
5. Justin Upton- Orioles
6. Johnny Cueto- Red Sox
7. Yoenis Cespedes- Angels
8. Alex Gordon- Royals
9. Jordan Zimmermann- Tigers
10. Jeff Samardzija- Giants
11. Mike Leake- Cardinals
12. Denard Span- Red Sox
13. Kenta Maeda- Diamondbacks
14. Wei-Yin Chen- Blue Jays
15. Dexter Fowler- Tigers
16. Daniel Murphy- Dodgers
17. Scott Kazmir- Angels
18. Ian Kennedy- Padres
19. Yovanni Gallardo- Giants
20. Ben Zobrist- Nationals

The only trade I *expect* to see is something like Harvey to the Red Sox for Mookie Betts. I think the Red Sox think they're close to competing in the AL East, and adding Harvey, Cueto and Span may prove them correct.


Nailed it.

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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby Tim » Tue Dec 01, 2015 4:16 am

Let's hope you are right at the top.
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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby minnesotacubsfan » Tue Dec 01, 2015 7:21 am

bukie wrote:1. Zack Greinke - Yankees
2. David Price - Yankees
3. Jason Heyward - Yankees
4. Chris Davis - Yankees
5. Justin Upton - Yankees
6. Johnny Cueto - Yankees
7. Yoenis Cespedes - Yankees
8. Alex Gordon - Yankees
9. Jordan Zimmermann - Yankees
10. Jeff Samardzija - Yankees
11. Mike Leake - Yankees
12. Denard Span - Yankees
13. Kenta Maeda - Yankees
14. Wei-Yin Chen - Yankees
15. Dexter Fowler - Yankees
16. Daniel Murphy - Yankees
17. Scott Kazmir - Yankees
18. Ian Kennedy - Yankees
19. Yovanni Gallardo - Yankees
20. Ben Zobrist - Yankees

I'll be the control.



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Re: Free Agency Predictions

Postby SRQCub » Tue Dec 01, 2015 10:39 am

Tim wrote:Let's hope you are right at the top.


Honestly don't think I will be on either account.

I hope I'm right about Heyward and that we then turn and deal for two young, controllable arms.


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