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by Transmogrified Tiger
Wed Jan 17, 2018 2:18 am
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Starting Pitching candidates
Replies: 1217
Views: 58549

Re: Starting Pitching candidates

d_money wrote:How do the Cubs have Quintana for “twice as long”?


3.5 years v. 2 years
by Transmogrified Tiger
Tue Jan 16, 2018 9:27 pm
Forum: Social
Topic: Politics & Current Events
Replies: 19926
Views: 597734

Re: Politics & Current Events



Surely a coincidence that the president's reported BMI falls one pound short of the obesity threshold.
by Transmogrified Tiger
Tue Jan 16, 2018 8:45 pm
Forum: General Baseball Discussion
Topic: The Cardinals
Replies: 1998
Views: 110024

Re: The Cardinals

There also exists a world in which Tommy Pham craters like Josh Harrison and Rizzo and Bryant combine for 3 more wins than 2017(like they did in 2016). I'm gonna write a blog post titled "how close are the Cardinals to the Cubs" and use that reality to conclude the Cubs are about 15 games...
by Transmogrified Tiger
Tue Jan 16, 2018 6:22 pm
Forum: General Baseball Discussion
Topic: The Cardinals
Replies: 1998
Views: 110024

Re: The Cardinals

David wrote:meh...it's just a homer blog and homer fans looking for hope in the extreme best case scenario. it's nothing we didn't do here from 2012-14.


That guy writes for Fangraphs.
by Transmogrified Tiger
Tue Jan 16, 2018 6:22 pm
Forum: General Baseball Discussion
Topic: The Cardinals
Replies: 1998
Views: 110024

Re: The Cardinals

There also exists a world in which Tommy Pham craters like Josh Harrison and Rizzo and Bryant combine for 3 more wins than 2017(like they did in 2016). I'm gonna write a blog post titled "how close are the Cardinals to the Cubs" and use that reality to conclude the Cubs are about 15 games ...
by Transmogrified Tiger
Tue Jan 16, 2018 6:17 pm
Forum: General Baseball Discussion
Topic: The Cardinals
Replies: 1998
Views: 110024

Re: The Cardinals

https://twitter.com/craigjedwards/status/952939910662631425 That is...not how projections work. "If the Cardinals' best players hit their 90% projection and everything else between the 2 teams is at 50%, then the Cubs are only a couple wins ahead" is not worthwhile analysis. If your point...
by Transmogrified Tiger
Mon Jan 15, 2018 10:51 pm
Forum: Transactions
Topic: McCutchen to the Giants
Replies: 23
Views: 801

Re: McCutchen to the Giants

McCutchen at 1/15 doesn't have a lot of value, so the return doesn't surprise me too much. Seems like the Pirates plan is to: - Hope a couple of their higher end prospects pan out(Polanco, Bell, Meadows, Taillon, Glasnow) - Shore up their roster to eliminate glaring holes(getting Moran and Musgrove ...
by Transmogrified Tiger
Mon Jan 15, 2018 8:18 pm
Forum: Transactions
Topic: McCutchen to the Giants
Replies: 23
Views: 801

Re: McCutchen to the Giants

They didn't have much of a choice, but the Giants are really leaning into the path the Tigers went down a few years back.
by Transmogrified Tiger
Mon Jan 15, 2018 3:51 am
Forum: Transactions
Topic: The Yu Darvish Thread
Replies: 353
Views: 16857

Re: The Yu Darvish Thread

Bobson Dugnutt wrote:lol the yankees interest in darvish is so real they’re willing to give him $16 million a year


Also they'd show you the money right now but it actually goes to a different school that's far away.
by Transmogrified Tiger
Sun Jan 14, 2018 1:17 am
Forum: Cubs Discussions
Topic: 2018 Cubs Convention
Replies: 42
Views: 2032

Re: 2018 Cubs Convention



Willson is the sports fandom version of having a puppy.
by Transmogrified Tiger
Sun Jan 14, 2018 12:13 am
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Starting Pitching candidates
Replies: 1217
Views: 58549

Re: Starting Pitching candidates

Also, that's not that bad a package for the Pirates. There's no superstar potential headliner, but the Cubs equivalent is in the neighborhood of Happ, Montgomery, Maples, and a prospect. I can respect the idea that if you're trading Cole it's a somewhat rare opportunity to add star-level upside, but...
by Transmogrified Tiger
Sun Jan 14, 2018 12:05 am
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Starting Pitching candidates
Replies: 1217
Views: 58549

Re: Starting Pitching candidates

r_mack wrote:Good God, we gave up Eloy for Jose Quintana


Quintana is better and we have him about twice as long.
by Transmogrified Tiger
Sat Jan 13, 2018 11:27 pm
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Starting Pitching candidates
Replies: 1217
Views: 58549

Re: Starting Pitching candidates



by Transmogrified Tiger
Sat Jan 13, 2018 7:19 pm
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Offseason Transactions
Replies: 278
Views: 17317

Re: Offseason Transactions

Are they planning on Reyes being a pen only option this year or are they going to try and get him to start (with his innings likely being very limited and watched I'd guess bullpen route with maybe a handful of starts)? I could see them going after Colome now. My understanding is he'll start in the...
by Transmogrified Tiger
Sat Jan 13, 2018 6:36 pm
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Offseason Transactions
Replies: 278
Views: 17317

Re: Offseason Transactions

I wonder if they promised him the closer role and go him a little cheaper and he probably wasn’t interested/wanted more money to come here (or to another team) who couldn’t guarantee that I'm more surprised the Cardinals didn't make that happen. Gregerson, Lyons, and Cecil are all fine to good reli...
by Transmogrified Tiger
Sat Jan 13, 2018 6:21 pm
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Offseason Transactions
Replies: 278
Views: 17317

Re: Offseason Transactions

In the abstract I'd have given Reed that for sure. Morrow + Cishek + maybe Darvish v. Morrow + Reed + stronger maybe Cobb is a debate worth having, although Reed's willingness to come to a team that signed Morrow is probably a factor.
by Transmogrified Tiger
Sat Jan 13, 2018 12:19 am
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Cubs Sign Reliever Steve Cishek for 2/$13M
Replies: 67
Views: 2892

Re: Cubs Sign Reliever Steve Cishek for 2/$13M

TIL Cishek is 6-6

by Transmogrified Tiger
Fri Jan 12, 2018 11:45 pm
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Cubs arbitration eligibles
Replies: 32
Views: 1039

Re: Cubs arbitration eligibles

OK, so 2.25 means 150k versus 200k. That makes sense. That said, I guess that number goes up every time during the season a guy goes on the DL and a guy comes up. So, maybe we need to save a bit more just for those occurrences? Cobb at a 15 mill AAV and a low rent backup C seems the most likely sce...
by Transmogrified Tiger
Fri Jan 12, 2018 11:20 pm
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Cubs arbitration eligibles
Replies: 32
Views: 1039

Re: Cubs arbitration eligibles

FWIW, you gain an extra million by using the real numbers and not rounding to the hundred thousands. If you assume Caratini at backup C, Montgomery as the 5th starter, and a 4 man bench you have 36.8 million to play with. Considering that a 4 man bench is more than within reach if you aren't trading...
by Transmogrified Tiger
Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:11 pm
Forum: Social
Topic: TV thread
Replies: 1991
Views: 77209

Re: TV thread

Same. I don't have a DVR (basic cable is provided with my HOA and I stream so damn much). If you guys would do me a solid and keep just talking about good shows to watch it would be appreciated. (I mean I guess that's what is already going on just urging people to give recommendations - Sofa put me...
by Transmogrified Tiger
Fri Jan 12, 2018 6:48 pm
Forum: Social
Topic: TV thread
Replies: 1991
Views: 77209

Re: TV thread

This is making me pretty excited as I didn't mind Season 1 of Halt and Catch Fire but I stopped keeping up with it after Season 2. I just finished Broadchurch so it's next on the list.
by Transmogrified Tiger
Fri Jan 12, 2018 6:46 pm
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Cubs arbitration eligibles
Replies: 32
Views: 1039

Re: Cubs arbitration eligibles

Grimm is going to arbitration apparently. Should have just non tendered him instead. I wonder if we were fine going to the top end of what he'd get/request and we just tried to come in a decent amount lower since he sucked ass last year and feel a compelling argument can be made in our favor in arb...
by Transmogrified Tiger
Fri Jan 12, 2018 4:29 pm
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Cubs arbitration eligibles
Replies: 32
Views: 1039

Re: Cubs arbitration eligibles

davell wrote:Actually, his was 4.3, they only missed him by 50k.


Whoops, I thought I had used the MLBTR estimates on my spreadsheet, must've rounded everything up to be conservative.
by Transmogrified Tiger
Fri Jan 12, 2018 4:23 pm
Forum: Cubs Discussions
Topic: World Series Swag Thread
Replies: 418
Views: 22355

Re: World Series Swag Thread

It looks like some manufacturer misprint that got sold to some wholesaler at pennies on the dollar. Outside of the typo it seems the same as the replicas they were selling for several times as much, right?
by Transmogrified Tiger
Fri Jan 12, 2018 3:38 pm
Forum: Transactions
Topic: Cubs arbitration eligibles
Replies: 32
Views: 1039

Cubs arbitration eligibles

I tried finding a way to make a dead offseason/nihilist arby's joke but it's friday and my brain is tired.

Anyway, Wilson signed for 4.25 million



That's 750k under MLBTR's estimate.

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