Addison Russell

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Re: Addison Russell

Postby SouthSideRyan » Fri Apr 27, 2018 1:03 pm

Guancous wrote:I trust Addison’s process and he’s due for some good luck. Just noting how absurd it is that he only has 2 RBI so far. To illustrate this fluke, here are some players who have more:

Clayton Richard
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Phil Ervin
Alcides Escobar
Magnerrius Sierra

He’s tied with Robert Acuña (who got called up yesterday) and Jorge Soler.


On the plus side I learned there’s a guy named Magnerrius Sierra
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby sneakypower » Fri Apr 27, 2018 8:06 pm

Guancous wrote:I trust Addison’s process and he’s due for some good luck. Just noting how absurd it is that he only has 2 RBI so far. To illustrate this fluke, here are some players who have more:

Clayton Richard
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Phil Ervin
Alcides Escobar
Magnerrius Sierra

He’s tied with Robert Acuña (who got called up yesterday) and Jorge Soler.

he hasn't had a barrel™, yet
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Guancous » Sun Apr 29, 2018 10:28 pm

Addison’s triple today was hit over 100 mph.
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Ding Dong Johnson » Mon Apr 30, 2018 4:44 am

broken clock, blind squirrel, dog’s ass. all that stuff
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Duke Silver » Wed May 09, 2018 10:31 pm

Cubswin11 wrote:It came up in the GT today but thought I'd post it here to keep the discussion going. The results haven't been great but the process has been really good by Russell so far this year and good things should start happening soon. As the Duke'ster and I pointed out Russell this year... He had a 15% BB and K rate going in to today, that's good. His Contact% is up and his O-Swing% is way down. He had a 29% LD rate, which is 8% higher than his career average and he did it by cutting down his GB rate by 9% over his career average, that's a very good and positive indicator. He is hitting for a little too much soft contact and his IFF% is high but he also has the highest % of hard hit balls he's ever had in his career, 7% above his career rate. If he can shift some of that soft contact for even medium contact good things are going to start to happen. He's putting himself in good spots, he just isn't executing as much as he should and can on balls in the zone yet.

Even if we assume the K and BB rate go 5% the wrong way (~10% BB rate ~20% K rate when the season ends) if he keeps doing what he's doing for even a healthy 145 games, plays great defense, and the batted ball profile bounces a bit from weak to medium or hard contact we could be in for a breakout year. If he BABIPS just around his career .295 rate (which should go up with some of the positive indicators) we could be in for a 20 HR .260/.350/mid .400's slash line with elite defense as a median projection, that's a 4+ WAR player.

Edit: I'll add if he continues what he's doing with even a little wrong way movement on the K/BB rate mentioned above but he puts up .320-.330ish BABIP (which shouldn't be crazy out of the question) he's basically Corey Seagar from last year.

I know this is all projecting good and wishful things but there’s real reasons to believe it and why look at the negative side of things when you can look for the positive things in life.


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Re: Addison Russell

Postby UK » Thu May 10, 2018 12:18 am

Duke Silver wrote:
Cubswin11 wrote:It came up in the GT today but thought I'd post it here to keep the discussion going. The results haven't been great but the process has been really good by Russell so far this year and good things should start happening soon. As the Duke'ster and I pointed out Russell this year... He had a 15% BB and K rate going in to today, that's good. His Contact% is up and his O-Swing% is way down. He had a 29% LD rate, which is 8% higher than his career average and he did it by cutting down his GB rate by 9% over his career average, that's a very good and positive indicator. He is hitting for a little too much soft contact and his IFF% is high but he also has the highest % of hard hit balls he's ever had in his career, 7% above his career rate. If he can shift some of that soft contact for even medium contact good things are going to start to happen. He's putting himself in good spots, he just isn't executing as much as he should and can on balls in the zone yet.

Even if we assume the K and BB rate go 5% the wrong way (~10% BB rate ~20% K rate when the season ends) if he keeps doing what he's doing for even a healthy 145 games, plays great defense, and the batted ball profile bounces a bit from weak to medium or hard contact we could be in for a breakout year. If he BABIPS just around his career .295 rate (which should go up with some of the positive indicators) we could be in for a 20 HR .260/.350/mid .400's slash line with elite defense as a median projection, that's a 4+ WAR player.

Edit: I'll add if he continues what he's doing with even a little wrong way movement on the K/BB rate mentioned above but he puts up .320-.330ish BABIP (which shouldn't be crazy out of the question) he's basically Corey Seagar from last year.

I know this is all projecting good and wishful things but there’s real reasons to believe it and why look at the negative side of things when you can look for the positive things in life.


When you're right, you're right.


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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Guancous » Sun May 13, 2018 4:34 pm

Addison Russell has a .975 OPS over the last two weeks going into Sunday’s game...
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby jersey cubs fan » Sun May 13, 2018 5:09 pm

Saw addison russell thread on Mother's Day and expected something else
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby cl smooth » Sun May 13, 2018 5:10 pm

jersey cubs fan wrote:Saw addison russell thread on Mother's Day and expected something else


gold.
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Cubswin11 » Sun May 13, 2018 5:15 pm

jersey cubs fan wrote:Saw addison russell thread on Mother's Day and expected something else

I don’t think Tim updated the servers enough to support such a large thread
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Duke Silver » Sat May 19, 2018 4:25 am

Depending on if you prefer UZR or DRS, Addison Russell is on pace for somewhere around 4.5-5.5 WAR.
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Cubswin11 » Sat May 19, 2018 4:30 am

He’s up to a .273/.358/.386 (.744 OPS). If he even starts hitting for average power......



Also his OBP is only 5th best on the team and you’d assume Rizzo ends up the year ahead of him. Crazy to think this offense has another level coming.
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby JennieGarthAlgar » Sun May 20, 2018 11:22 am

Cubswin11 wrote:If he even starts hitting for average power......


Look out, ladies
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby jersey cubs fan » Sun May 20, 2018 11:26 am

JennieGarthAlgar wrote:
Cubswin11 wrote:If he even starts hitting for average power......


Look out, ladies

Ouch
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Brian » Tue May 22, 2018 4:59 am

looks like Addi has got himself a new lady friend according to his instagram story. Baby #3 can't be far behind.
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Ding Dong Johnson » Tue May 22, 2018 3:53 pm

Brian wrote:looks like Addi has got himself a new lady friend according to his instagram story. Baby #3 can't be far behind.

it would be just like him to be on his 3rd baby with this new gal after already having 2 with other women.
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby littleburr24 » Thu May 24, 2018 8:11 pm

Ding Dong Johnson wrote:
Brian wrote:looks like Addi has got himself a new lady friend according to his instagram story. Baby #3 can't be far behind.

it would be just like him to be on his 3rd baby with this new gal after already having 2 with other women.


What was that?

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Re: Addison Russell

Postby UMFan83 » Thu May 24, 2018 8:13 pm

You cannot make this stuff up....
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby javy knows my name » Thu May 24, 2018 8:24 pm

Pretty bummed I can't find a decent gif of Malory suggesting that Archer wear a vasectomy
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Brian707 » Thu May 24, 2018 8:24 pm

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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Banedon » Thu May 24, 2018 8:53 pm

littleburr24 wrote:


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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Derwood » Thu May 24, 2018 8:55 pm

For the advanced metrics guys: Is Russell on pace to break Shawn Kemp's record?
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Brian » Thu May 24, 2018 9:11 pm

holy horsefeathers I was joking about the kid, time to go under the knife bro
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby Brian » Thu May 24, 2018 9:33 pm

I find it romantic that he apparently only uses condoms to cheat
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Re: Addison Russell

Postby SouthSideRyan » Thu May 24, 2018 9:41 pm

Brian wrote:I find it romantic that he apparently only uses condoms to cheat


He's a traditionalist.
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