Transmogrified Tiger wrote:StarlinOnYou wrote:jersey cubs fan wrote:
If he does that then of course it does not matter.
The issue is the approach tends to cause players capable of doing great things to not actually do great things. If he somehow manages to flail at a ton of stuff outside the zone but still produce, good on him. The concern is that things even out.
I envision Baez at around .270/325/465 right around 800 OPS.
I think many people underrate him bc many thought he would be a superstar. But, I think he settles around those numbers with a versatile glove. And I think he's a very valuable part of the future.
Let's put this a different way. Baez has a 4% BB% and a 23% K%. In the last 5 years, there have been 11 qualified seasons with < 5% BB% and > 20% K%. No one did it more than once, and only 5 of those seasons were above average offensively. Baez needs to make an adjustment in some direction. His recent performance is encouraging, but there are additional steps to take.
EDIT: If you want a mental image to associate with a positive outcome for Baez, think of something like a Mark Trumbo/Starling Marte combo. That type of player fits in perfectly with the Cubs(I'd say a Rizzo/Bryant/Schwarber/Baez sequence could be pretty great), but it's easy to see the downside too from that example. Trumbo has had some down years, and Baez isn't going to carry BABIPs like Marte to keep his production as high.
Baez finishes with .273/.317/480
Will Baez slug like that next season?