WrigleyField 22 wrote:
Sammy Sofa wrote:I think the big X factor here is the possibly disconnect between relative lack of enthusiasm for Generic GOP Candidate A-Z, even if endorsed by Trump or being a Trump buttlicker, and then the wholly singular and bizarre political entity that is Donald Trump: Inexplicable Line in the Sand for Republicans himself.
Ideally this isn't actually a thing, but I talked about before about how much it depresses me how Trump himself seems to be this insane "YOU SHALL NOT CROSS" figure for all walks of Republican politicians and voters. Like, they have zero problem ditching or not going nuts for seemingly any other Republican candidate, but Trump himself (or maybe just the presidency itself?) is seemingly seen as this thing that they're willing to back no matter what. Even the Republicans who don't like him, or claim to not like him, look at him as the best defense against the Democrats/the Left because they hate/fear the latter SO much more than they could ever dislike the former.
I think the X factor is which if any of the D candidates end up being some false equivalency "just as bad" choice for people again, like Hilary was. Obviously the GOP will try to demonize whoever wins the D nomination, I'm just not sure if any of the 4 frontrunners are more susceptible or not.
I don't see "the left" uniting behind any of the democratic candidates. Obama takes a lot of earned gruff but the one thing he got right was that he was able to mold his image to bring different groups of liberals together. It was really only after he left office and Trump moved in that liberals started to splinter on their opinions of him.
Of the candidates, here's what we have
Booker and Buttigieg - phonies
Kamala - cop, woman
Bernie - old, socialist and bernie bros
Warren - woman, the native ancestry problem, socialist also old
Biden - Biden
No matter who out of that group makes it, the only hope that Dems as a whole will support them en masse is if Trump does something so egregious in the next 12 months (certainly a possibility) that everyone goes ok we gotta get this guy outta here above all else. And then what you're left with is a one-term president who gets replaced in 2024 with Ivanka or whatever Trump kid runs.
Trump unites the right because he gives every conservative something they want. There are an absurd amount of republicans who only care about abortion and eliminating it. Guess who just put them like one SC judge away from pulling that off? You think they're going to stay home and let Joe Biden be president just because Trump did a little quid pro quo? hell no.
"Sure I don't like the way he conducts himself, but he's building a wall and making mexico pay for it! He's not going to let us get horsefeathers free healthcare like canada or one of those other socialist nations like Venezuela! can't let a dem get in here and screw up that progress we've made."