Hairyducked Idiot wrote:
OleMissCub wrote:when will it be "over"? What's the standard there?
I read that, historically, pandemics "end" when one of two ways: 1) there is essentially no one else left to infect (either by vaccine or by natural immunity) or 2) society accepts the risk and decides to return to business as usual despite the disease still existing.
With Covid in the USA, I'm not sure how much longer we can go on without a "societal end". Even in the hardest hit places, we're only seeing about 15 hospitalizations per 100,000 people. Is that enough of a threat for your average person to keep complying with rules, etc., for another six months to a year?
It’s 15 per 100k *under the current restrictions*. As we saw in the summer, if you loosen the restrictions, it goes up quickly.
It ends with a vaccine
Not taking exception to your overall point, but there are plenty of states who don't really have major restrictions at the current time. Can't speak for other states, but our idiot governor discontinued Mississippi's mask mandate several weeks ago (although thankfully I see very few people not wearing masks at the grocery store or gas station, etc) and we are at 75% capacity regarding restaurant restrictions. We currently have 15.4 hosp. per 100k and 4 ICU per 100k.
For reference on overall hospitalizations, the highest rate we achieved nationally was July 23rd when we had 59,718 people hospitalized which comes out to 18.2 per 100k.
fwiw, US hospitalizations are up +16% as more places are opening up. Hospitalizations went from 30,009 to 35,056 in the past week.