New York will start allowing fans at sporting events and other large entertainment venues at 10% capacity starting in less than two weeks. The easing has started. I *still* think a mostly normal Opening Day is in play. That's still 6.5 weeks away, and think about where we were 6.5 weeks ago compared to now.
If you squint you can kind of see the rate of drop in cases slow down a little bit this week. But I've thought that at mid-week the past couple of weeks, and then we usually get a few good days to balance it out, so I'm not sure. Meanwhile, the drop in hospitalizations is accelerating a tiny bit, which is what I really want to see. I trust the hospital stat more than any other number because of the way it is collected. Deaths are finally starting to fall, but there's so many problems with that number that you never how it will behave. Some deaths are added to the total within days, others take months.
COVID19-projections is starting to discount vaccine efficacy and increase their transmission projections because of the variants, which causes them to see a prolonged plateau in cases from now to early April. I'm not convinced, but if that does happen, we should still see hospitalizations and deaths continue to decrease.