Brexit

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Re: Brexit

Postby Derwood » Fri Jun 24, 2016 3:16 pm

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Re: Brexit

Postby jersey cubs fan » Fri Jun 24, 2016 3:19 pm

Sammy Sofa wrote: It's no secret that the financial world certainly wanted Remain to win, and as said, hedging their bets on it definitely seems like wishful thinking.


What they did was the opposite of hedging their bets on it.
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Re: Brexit

Postby Sammy Sofa » Fri Jun 24, 2016 3:21 pm

jersey cubs fan wrote:
Sammy Sofa wrote: It's no secret that the financial world certainly wanted Remain to win, and as said, hedging their bets on it definitely seems like wishful thinking.


What they did was the opposite of hedging their bets on it.


Whatever; pretend I was using the stupid British slang version or something.
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Re: Brexit

Postby jersey cubs fan » Fri Jun 24, 2016 3:21 pm

Sammy Sofa wrote:
jersey cubs fan wrote:
Sammy Sofa wrote: It's no secret that the financial world certainly wanted Remain to win, and as said, hedging their bets on it definitely seems like wishful thinking.


What they did was the opposite of hedging their bets on it.


Whatever; pretend I was using the stupid British slang version or something.

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Re: Brexit

Postby Sammy Sofa » Fri Jun 24, 2016 3:30 pm

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Re: Brexit

Postby jersey cubs fan » Fri Jun 24, 2016 3:35 pm

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longhotsummer wrote:I realize now, any opposing viewpoint, will not be tolerated.

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Re: Brexit

Postby Banedon » Fri Jun 24, 2016 3:37 pm

All the interviews with people saying they voted to leave, but they regret it now because they didn't think it would actually happen.....

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Re: Brexit

Postby CubinNY » Fri Jun 24, 2016 4:01 pm

It's like when a kid who was playing with matches though it might be cool to see what it was like if he threw one in a pool of gasoline.
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Re: Brexit

Postby Omar » Fri Jun 24, 2016 4:13 pm

thats what we'll feel on November 9th
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Re: Brexit

Postby Sammy Sofa » Fri Jun 24, 2016 4:26 pm

If you know someone stupid enough to vote for Trump as a joke, punch them in the dick.
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Re: Brexit

Postby Banedon » Fri Jun 24, 2016 4:37 pm

The US is too lazy to turn up to vote for real, much less as a joke. The Brexit voter turnout was 20% higher than our Presidential elections are.
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Re: Brexit

Postby CubInOK » Fri Jun 24, 2016 4:55 pm

Banedon wrote:The US is too lazy to turn up to vote for real, much less as a joke. The Brexit voter turnout was 20% higher than our Presidential elections are.

Keeping the polls open until 10:00pm helped that a lot.
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Re: Brexit

Postby Tracer Bullet » Fri Jun 24, 2016 5:14 pm

I think it's important to remember that while they touted it as a government elected by the people, the founding fathers who popularized "democracy" actually wanted a government elected and run by elites (white, male, land owners, which is all it really took to consider yourself elite in the 1700s, I guess). Not even those guys wanted everyone in the country to have the right to vote.
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Re: Brexit

Postby wvcbxl » Fri Jun 24, 2016 5:48 pm

Sammy Sofa wrote:Basically the only thing that seemed to really nudge things more definitively towards remain was the response after Cox's murder, and even then Exit came out on top in 4 of the last 11 polls, and Remain only had about an average lead of about 0.5%.

Bottom line: elections that hover basically right at 50-50 are notoriously tough to predict because they can so easily swing either way. It's no secret that the financial world certainly wanted Remain to win, and as said, hedging their bets on it definitely seems like wishful thinking.


Sofa's right: this had been a toss-up for at least a month; nobody should be surprised at the final result.
The statistical splits are interesting though; it looks like Scotland's window to leave the UK will be open for the next two years.
Their smart tactics should be to wait for the negociations to hit a difficult stage, then go for a "become independent to stay in the EU" style referendum, ditching the pound at the same time.
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Re: Brexit

Postby Sammy Sofa » Fri Jun 24, 2016 5:54 pm

Scotland leaving could end up being really interesting; the English like to mock Scotland for basically being a welfare state, but it actually has a ridiculous amount of oil. That whole system has been, obviously, funneled through British channels, so if Scotland breaks off do they potentially become a petrostate?
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Re: Brexit

Postby USSoccer » Fri Jun 24, 2016 6:00 pm

Sammy Sofa wrote:Scotland leaving could end up being really interesting; the English like to mock Scotland for basically being a welfare state, but it actually has a ridiculous amount of oil. That whole system has been, obviously, funneled through British channels, so if Scotland breaks off do they potentially become a petrostate?


Scotland breaking off is a "when", not an "if". The whole reason they stayed was to remain part of the EU; England is in for a very rude awakening with that.
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Re: Brexit

Postby Banedon » Fri Jun 24, 2016 6:04 pm

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Re: Brexit

Postby cl smooth » Fri Jun 24, 2016 6:33 pm

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Re: Brexit

Postby OleMissCub » Fri Jun 24, 2016 6:36 pm

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Re: Brexit

Postby wvcbxl » Fri Jun 24, 2016 6:36 pm

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Re: Brexit

Postby Omar » Fri Jun 24, 2016 7:07 pm

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Re: Brexit

Postby Ding Dong Johnson » Fri Jun 24, 2016 7:12 pm

Sammy Sofa wrote:If you know someone stupid enough to vote for Trump as a joke, punch them in the dick.

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Re: Brexit

Postby weis21 » Fri Jun 24, 2016 9:42 pm

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Re: RE: Re: Brexit

Postby sneakypower » Fri Jun 24, 2016 10:23 pm

Omar wrote:Image
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probably a good time to refinance your home
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Re: RE: Re: Brexit

Postby CubInOK » Fri Jun 24, 2016 11:11 pm

sneakypower wrote:
Omar wrote:Image
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probably a good time to refinance your home

US10Y yields fell like a stone today too.
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