TomtheBombadil wrote:Some non-QB FAs I think can be good buys for teams during the FA period. Cap’s exploding over the next three years, these are guys I think can look like relative bargains:
Ryan Jensen - Only a one year starter but as the center of FO’s 6th ranked run blocking OL and 4th in pass protection. Has a whole red hair gimmick thing for the folks watching at home. Zach Fulton might get similar money and has never started. I’m expecting $9-10 million
Trey Burton - Top ten TE by both DVOA and DYAR in 2017. If someone wants a potential posession guy sign this guy instead of Jarvis Landry and save $6+ million. I’m thinking he gets anywhere from $6-8 million
Paul Richardson WR - Top 25 WR by DYAR and top 20 by DVOA in 2017 with 6 TDs. $10 million
Chris Hubbard RT - Shorter RT but versatile and was servicable filling in for Gilbert with the Steelers. I like James from the Dolphins more but they have to cut him whereas Hubbard is a UFA. $7 million? James might get $10 million if cut, league is really short on OT talent.
Adrian Clayborn DE - Yes, 6 of his sacks came in one game but still a solid and somewhat versatile pass rusher. $10 million
EJ Gaines - Breeland, Dennard, and Robinson are three other starting outside CBs after Johnson and Fuller that will get lots of attention, but Gaines was strong for a very good pass defense and offers a little more versatility. My favorite buy among the CBs this offseason. If someone really wants to get nuts, Revis wasn’t terrible last year and might sign both late and cheap.
Trent Murphy DE/LB - Coming off a torn ACL, but did put up 9 sacks in 2016. Beastly 6.78 3-cone during the 2014 combine at 250+.
Yeah Murphy is where you dig into injured guys (Eifert), pick-your-Buster Skrine slot CB no one will really like (the Rams guy? Colvin from the Jags?) in a couple years...I like Vaccaro for someone out there among injured veterans.
Some guys I think get way overpaid (it’s not going to be Cousins, Bell, Johnson, Lawrence, or Norwell; those guys are studs):
Literally every non-Cousins QB, though maybe Chase Daniel is next year’s Keenum
Jarvis Landry - Does lots of things well, making big plays is not one of them. Catches the ball but the guys who get paid what he is asking or more do stuff like score TDs
Sefarian-Jenkins - Crazy tools, ideal frame, but literally one of the worst players in the NFL last year by DVOA and DYAR, asking for $6-8 million
Jimmy Graham - Someome will pay for the 10 TDs he caught but otherwise hasn’t been a top TE in a while
Ezekiel Ansah - Too many injuries
Good list. These are the types of guys I want the Bears to look at. Teams usually regret star chasing in free agency in the NFL, unless they are at the point where they are that 1 star player away from being an elite team.
I'd also add:
Junior Galette- he's turning 30 and going to be 4 years removed from back-to-back double digit sack seasons. But he was one of the most productive pass rushers in limited snaps last year coming off injury. Should only require a 1 or 2 year deal for cheap.https://twitter.com/MattHarmon_BYB/status/960671241681059840
Jeremiah Attaochu- had 6 sacks in a limited role in 2015. Dealt with injuries the last 2 years and the Chargers moved to a 4-3 making him an odd fit. Just turned 25.
Ross Cockrell- tossed aside by the Steelers after 2016 despite being solid. Above average (per PFF) for the Giants this past season.
Kony Ealy- has had a pretty weird career. Slow start, then had a huge Superbowl for Carolina. Traded to the Patriots, who cut him soon after. But then had a decent season for the Jets. Only 26.
Also guys like DaQuan Jones, Albert Wilson, Beau Allen, and Donte Moncrief are guys who could either start for a team or have a pretty prominent role for under the 5M per year mark.
And if I'm a team like Jacksonville, NY Giants, Saints, etc. that has either an iffy QB or an old QB, I'd definitely bring in Teddy Bridgewater. He's one of my top graded QBs in the last 5 years and is still just 25. He can definitely play if he's healthy.