NSB Community Forum

Andy wrote:

rawaction wrote:

NOLA wrote:What was their alternative there? It was 4th and 19 from near midfield and 2 minutes left.

Quick scouting report for Bears fans. Throw it deep against the Saints. They’ve had more blown zone coverage than any team in recent memory. Every freaking week.

You have to go for it. Ideally, Bridgewater doesn't take a sack, but you have to go for it with that little time left. 4th and 19 is more likely to convert than the longest FG in the history of the NFL. Plus, a miss meant Saints get the ball 7 yards closer than a simple incompletion.

I don't know. Slye has a cannon for a leg and didn't miss that by much. That's one of those where I don't know if I'd had an argument either way. That goes on Bridgewater (and the offensive line) more than anyone else.

Carolina is clearly one of those teams that's just good enough to be a pain in the ass for just about anyone to play but not good enough to beat most of those teams. Tampa is the only loss of their four that wasn't really close - and on the flip side, Arizona is the only one of their wins that wasn't really close.

BigbadB wrote:Didn't realize that the Dolphins were on their bye week when they made the early announcement that they were going with Tua as the starter for their next game. That makes me believe they did it to try and get a good draft pick for Fitz prior to the trade deadline. Announcing that he was being relegated to the bench after a couple of good games keeps his stock up higher than it might be otherwise. Especially after seeing what happened in Dallas.

rawaction wrote:

BigbadB wrote:Didn't realize that the Dolphins were on their bye week when they made the early announcement that they were going with Tua as the starter for their next game. That makes me believe they did it to try and get a good draft pick for Fitz prior to the trade deadline. Announcing that he was being relegated to the bench after a couple of good games keeps his stock up higher than it might be otherwise. Especially after seeing what happened in Dallas.

Yeah, that's one theory. The other was that they had always planned to get Tua ready over the bye week, but their bye week got changed due to all the rescheduling. I wouldn't be surprised to see Fitz to Dallas within the next day or two. They can still have a bunch of offensive talent and could make the playoffs in a terrible division. Not that it'll do them any good ultimately, but their too proud not to go for it.

rawaction wrote:

BigbadB wrote:Didn't realize that the Dolphins were on their bye week when they made the early announcement that they were going with Tua as the starter for their next game. That makes me believe they did it to try and get a good draft pick for Fitz prior to the trade deadline. Announcing that he was being relegated to the bench after a couple of good games keeps his stock up higher than it might be otherwise. Especially after seeing what happened in Dallas.

Yeah, that's one theory. The other was that they had always planned to get Tua ready over the bye week, but their bye week got changed due to all the rescheduling. I wouldn't be surprised to see Fitz to Dallas within the next day or two. They can still have a bunch of offensive talent and could make the playoffs in a terrible division. Not that it'll do them any good ultimately, but their too proud not to go for it.

NOLA wrote:It seems completely media driven, but lots of chatter about Jameis Winston to the Cowboys. Saints need help at Safety and Nickel.

OleMissCub wrote:

NOLA wrote:It seems completely media driven, but lots of chatter about Jameis Winston to the Cowboys. Saints need help at Safety and Nickel.

Ugh, No. I’d rather see what Winston can do with corrected vision next year as opposed to Taysom Hill full time.

The Miami Dolphins are signing tight end Adam Shaheen to a two-year extension worth up to $7.85 million with $3.2 million guaranteed, a source told ESPN's Adam Schefter.

Splendid Splinter wrote:

The Miami Dolphins are signing tight end Adam Shaheen to a two-year extension worth up to $7.85 million with $3.2 million guaranteed, a source told ESPN's Adam Schefter.

Decided to look up his stats since he's getting extended for somewhat decent $$. Figured he must be producing... I was wrong. 5 receptions/58 yards/2 TDs so far. 95% of that came this past week.

WrigleyField 22 wrote:

Splendid Splinter wrote:

The Miami Dolphins are signing tight end Adam Shaheen to a two-year extension worth up to $7.85 million with $3.2 million guaranteed, a source told ESPN's Adam Schefter.

Decided to look up his stats since he's getting extended for somewhat decent $$. Figured he must be producing... I was wrong. 5 receptions/58 yards/2 TDs so far. 95% of that came this past week.

That is shocking. Do they just need to meet the spending minimum or something?

Hopefully bodes well for the conditional pick (7th to 6th) the Bears got for him.

rawaction wrote:

WrigleyField 22 wrote:

Splendid Splinter wrote:
Decided to look up his stats since he's getting extended for somewhat decent $$. Figured he must be producing... I was wrong. 5 receptions/58 yards/2 TDs so far. 95% of that came this past week.

That is shocking. Do they just need to meet the spending minimum or something?

Hopefully bodes well for the conditional pick (7th to 6th) the Bears got for him.

It does. They'll get a 6th for him now.

minnesotacubsfan wrote:

rawaction wrote:

WrigleyField 22 wrote:That is shocking. Do they just need to meet the spending minimum or something?

Hopefully bodes well for the conditional pick (7th to 6th) the Bears got for him.

It does. They'll get a 6th for him now.

its too bad we wasted a 2nd on him tho

WrigleyField 22 wrote:

minnesotacubsfan wrote:

rawaction wrote:
It does. They'll get a 6th for him now.

its too bad we wasted a 2nd on him tho

Yea well Tom Brady was picked in the 6th round so I'm pretty sure those are more valuable.

Baltimore and Pittsburgh are next behind Tampa Bay, getting ready for their big matchup coming this Sunday. The Ravens move up a little bit on their week off thanks to changes in opponent adjustments, while Pittsburgh moves down a little bit from a close game with Tennessee. Kansas City moves up to No. 4 after beating Denver, primarily because of a boost in special teams from Byron Pringle's kick return touchdown. The Chiefs defense didn't actually improve in DVOA because that kind of great defensive performance is what we expect teams to have against the Broncos this season. After Kansas City, we've got Indianapolis as surprising fifth and then New Orleans sixth.

Then comes the best division in football, the NFC West. The Los Angeles Rams are up to seventh this week, the San Francisco 49ers are up to eighth, and the Seattle Seahawks drop to ninth. Arizona is now 11th, with Green Bay in between. That's all four NFC West teams in the top 11.

There's a lot of interest in whether the entire NFC West can make the playoffs. The biggest barrier is going to be the New Orleans Saints, and either the Bucs or the Saints end up with a wild card in roughly two-thirds of our simulations. The entire NFC West makes the playoffs in only 4.8% of our simulations. Other possibilities:

Entire NFC West has a winning record: 38.4%
Entire NFC East has a losing record: 63.1%
Entire NFC East is 6-9-1 or worse: 26.4%
Entire NFC East is 5-10-1 or worse: 3.8%
Entire NFC West has a winning record and entire NFC East has a losing record: 25.9%