DonnieD wrote:Cubswin11 wrote:I’m not a big fan. He’s only stayed healthy once and is expensive in LT regards. If the defensive metrics don’t go crazy I wouldn’t be surprised if Almora/Happ platoon out WARs him this year.
He has stayed healthy enough to post bWARs of 7.3, 5.5, and 5.1 the last three years. If he actually can stay healthy for a full season he is a 7 win player. That is a no-brainer for a guy locked up through 2023, and ~ $10 M per is not expensive in LT regards.
Happ and Almora would have to take huge steps forward to out value Kiermaier.
fWAR isn’t as high on him, and he’s a career .260/.310/.430 hitter. He doesn’t walk at a crazy rate and Ks about mid 20%, he doesn’t really hit for power, he needs to play the horsefeathers out of defense to carry a lot of his value. His OPS vs LHP is also in the mid .600s and WRC+ in the 80s (so he’s a platoon guy offensively) and against RHP where he’s “good” he’s only at .780 and 116 WRC+. I feel pretty confident Happ/Almora out perform that offensively this year when used to platoon advantages. For the likely acquisition cost and dependence on defense for value and doing nothing else well I don’t really care for him.
Also even at only ~$10 million that pushes us awfully close to the LT this year and at the least would/could affect any in season additions. That alone isn’t worth it for me.