Cubswin11 wrote:Lance Lynn got 3/30 this offseason, Harvey got $10 million and Cobb And Chatwood got plenty last year. Teams are still spending stupidly on pitching. Wade Miley likely sucks with horsefeathers peripherals last year and he was hurt 2-3 times and was horrible in 2017, Pomeranz was horsefeathers and hurt last year too. What do you think these guys should’ve gotten?
Lance Lynn’s got nearly 350 average-above average innings as a SP the past two years. That’s easily worth more than $10 million a year, so likely he was forced to trade salary for years. His signing team wasn’t being super generous and giving him three years out of the goodness of their heart. The better explanation is he got 3 years for salary cap purposes. No reason he couldn’t get 2/30 or 3/45, it’s not even like that would change opinions so much since we’re already at the buyer being stupid for 3/30 anyway. Same for Chatwood, who had logged 300+ above average innings in 2016-2017 playing in Coors during this juiced ball era. $13 million a year for same production is again a steal, and some expected better. Pomeranz is a year removed from 170+ strong innings in the AL East with Fenway as his home park, and that season was more or less identical to his 2016. One bad season and he can’t even get what Phil Coke got to be a 25th man for a few weeks. Harvey’s the closest here to what you’re shooting for and he signed with a team more desparate for any kind of SP than pretty much any possible contender in baseball.
Miley’s more often than not been a competent and durable pitcher this decade and not all his periphs were bad. In a flyball and HR dominant offensive era he posted strong GB rates and kept the ball in the park, logged a 3.59 FIP, drew more swinging strikes, drew well above average whiff rates on his four seam, 3-4 pitches that consistently get beat into the ground, 3-4 pitchers that general whiffs at >10%...Yes the easy money is always on a pitcher coming in below expectations but this is worth more than $4.5 million in a more honest FA market. Hence you get a cheap but very smart competitive org like the Astros pouncing on a guy who very easily could end up a steal at that price...Beyond being able to get away with not doing it this should easily worth $8-10 million if not $12 million on a one year