Regular Show wrote:Transmogrified Tiger wrote:Baez having more bat speed than anyone is not the same as having bat speed to spare. His swing is not particularly compact and losing a tick to merely be 'elite' bat speed could have significant consequences. Players who lean that hard on their physical gifts to be really good don't have extra room for error against decline.
That's not me exactly saying that -- I actually took that from a scout. He said he has elite bat speed (possibly the best in MLB) and has "bat speed to spare". Keith Law or Kiley McDaniel said that his pronounced bat wrap earlier in his career actually helped him somewhat because his bat was so violent and quick. Normally, a bat wrap is a bad thing and Baez has toned that down.
I disagree with you here. His swing isn't compact, but he has great hands and can adjust and reach pitches that some hitters on this team can't get to or do anything with. Scouts and experts consistently say his batspeed is among the best so it's hard to figure out what "losing a tick" means for someone like him. It's hard to predict how he'll do once his bat slows down, but I'm not worried about Baez. I'd be way more concerned about other hitters on this team.
It's not extra hard to figure out how Baez's high level physical gifts will age, it's guesswork for experts and idiots like us alike. The point is he doesn't get extra credit in the aging department because of them when he needs to use those physical gifts dialed up to 11 to even be a passable major leaguer. He has one season with a wOBA above .326 and a wRC+ above 100. His career batting line's closest Cubs peer is Almora.