toonsterwu wrote:Just to ramble on the trade a bit longer as I wait on something to get done -
We'll never know the deliberations, but for a Cubs organization and system that has struggled to develop pitching, it would've been nice if they had gotten another arm or two in the deal. Caissie just worries me on paper, and Santana, dunno, don't get a great feel, although the MilB profile makes him sound quite intriguing. Honestly, if they picked up an Omar Cruz or a Carlos Guarate in the deal, I would've been far more pleased. This obviously isn't a big issue in the grand scheme of things (and with lottery tickets, you take the highest upside and worry about position later, and neither Guarate or Cruz have huge upsides).
Part of me wonders if they try flipping Zach Davies sooner than later. It feels like a team could take a decent gamble on Davies for one year, and then wash their hands if they flounder, or move him again next year (or sign him to a deal).
- It's not likely they trade Davies, but there's enough volatility between him and that whole SP setup that it's not totally unlikely either. The Cubs' SP depth chart is wildly inexperienced but there's also enough talent to piece together something behind Hendricks* given the more year to year outlook of things. Doubt they sign any SP to anything but a 2 year deal for a couple years maybe more unless Stroman breaks out with his own crazy pitch mix during 2021 or a top young pitcher moves from an international league. OTOH if they trade a MLer, probably a depth chartable 40 rosterable SP is added maybe even better than that
- I probably already said it but Santana is a tick ahead of Luis Verdugo, both breaking out at 18 in the AZL but with Verdugo repeating the league. He's in the convo for best 3rd best SS defender in the org after Baez and Howard. He should be the easiest immediate top 10 prospect in this bunch on paper with the way rankings tend to go...
- Now I'm interested to see what the re-ranks look like, it's not hard to see both Santana and Preciado in the top 10 and Mena ranked not so far behind Roederer and Nwogu if Roederer's not considered a top 10 guy (which seems to be the case)
- One of the underplayed aspects of this trade is how it's the ugly stepchild of a pretty typical Rays trade. They didn't consolidate Future Value into one guy like an Abrams or Gore, they went heavy on the youth (many knew Adames and Archer were good even at the time of Price/Garza IMO), dumped salary but made sure to get back a MLer for immediate use, spreading innings out among the pitchers making that jump from 60 to (hopefully?) 162
*Please don't trade Hendricks
Another way I've spun it in my head...
The larger mass of folks at home have been begging to see all of this happen: the supposed little guy spend (mostly to set up the story of why he won't spend later), the big market clubs play with tighter budgets for whatever reasons have been invented, everyone relying more on the farm system than those pesky aging expensive FAs with their unending lust for money, fewer one dimensional players, and tremendous value and emphasis put on ultra cheap, controlled, healthy, youth. The Cubs just got younger, cheaper, healthier, further away from FA...on the way up!
Everything just said is in the context that Josh Allen, scheming billionaires, and the pandemic very possibly finished the breaking of my brain