Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Which of these are most likely?

Ian Happ becomes a young-Zobrist-like WAR monster with 30+ HR power
19
12%
Javy learns how to walk a little and hit RHP better and unlocks superstar potential
26
16%
Rizzo or Bryant have sub-2 win seasons
2
1%
Contreras leads the team in WAR (by excellent performance, not default)
21
13%
Almora puts it together vs RHP and puts out a 4+ WAR season
20
12%
Darvish finishes top 2 in Cy Young
12
7%
Lester pitches himself out of the rotation
4
2%
Lester has a huge bounceback and leads the team in fWAR (again, by performance, not default)
8
5%
Chatwood figures it out, takes advantage of an elite Cubs infield defense to put up the best ERA on the staff
13
8%
Schwarber breaks out and hits for enough average to put up a .950 OPS
33
20%
Hendricks pitches himself out of the rotation and Montgomery steps in and never looks back
4
2%
 
Total votes: 162

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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby Sammy Sofa » Sat Apr 21, 2018 3:13 am

Yeah, but putting Happ instead of Almora in your sig negates any good call you made.
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby David » Sat Apr 21, 2018 3:16 am

Sammy Sofa wrote:Yeah, but putting Happ instead of Almora in your sig negates any good call you made.

i didn't even vote for that one

that said, happ has the same career fWAR as almora in about 2/3 the amount of games so i wouldn't go calling that one quite yet
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby Sammy Sofa » Sat Apr 21, 2018 3:17 am

David wrote:
Sammy Sofa wrote:Yeah, but putting Happ instead of Almora in your sig negates any good call you made.

i didn't even vote for that one

that said, happ has the same career fWAR as almora in about 2/3 the amount of games so i wouldn't go calling that one quite yet


I would.

I'm going bold; once Happ gets sent down he's never coming back.
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby jersey cubs fan » Sun May 27, 2018 1:56 am

Does a Yu darvish Tommy John surgery count?
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby Sammy Sofa » Sun May 27, 2018 2:00 am

[expletive], who is the possible soothsayer who picked Rizzo to have a terrible year?
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby Brian707 » Tue May 29, 2018 6:56 pm

Sammy Sofa wrote:[expletive], who is the possible soothsayer who picked Rizzo to have a terrible year?



My money is on jamfan
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby UMFan83 » Sat Jun 16, 2018 4:12 pm

I just want to say when I originally voted on this I thought it said Lester leads pitchers in fWAR and not team so I am going to pretend like I am nailing this prediction right now

I also voted for the Almora choice which is on track and while Contreras isnt leading the team in fWAR he’s 2nd
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby jersey cubs fan » Thu Jun 28, 2018 2:39 am

jersey cubs fan wrote:Dark horse candidate: Hendricks fails miserably

He is the same age as Jimi when he died.

This could happen, and conceivably barely hurt the Cubs chances.

This wasn't a request Kyle
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby Duke Silver » Sun Jul 08, 2018 6:29 am

Is it too late to change my pick from "Chatwood has the best ERA on the staff" to "Javy somehow wins MVP?"
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby Ding Dong Johnson » Sun Jul 08, 2018 6:49 pm

my sub-2 war for rizzo pick is looking pretty good
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby David » Thu Aug 02, 2018 5:00 pm

looking pretty safe to say that the best answer here was #2 with a bit of an asterisk

he didn't need to learn to walk a little. he does whatever the horsefeathers he wants.
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby UMFan83 » Thu Aug 02, 2018 5:16 pm

David wrote:looking pretty safe to say that the best answer here was #2 with a bit of an asterisk

he didn't need to learn to walk a little. he does whatever the horsefeathers he wants.


Trying to rank these in terms of likelihood of coming true at this point

1. Javy learns how to walk a little and hit RHP better and unlocks superstar potential.
2. Rizzo or Bryant have sub-2 win seasons (would have said before the season that this was least likely especially if it wasn't due to injury)
3. Contreras leads the team in WAR (he probably won't pass Javy but he's number 2 on the team)
4. Almora puts it together vs RHP and puts out a 4+ WAR season (he hasn't put it together but ignoring obvious regression that is occuring is hitting .288 with a .714 OPS vs RHP which isnt awful for the bad side of the platoon and is on pace for about 3 WAR)
5. Ian Happ becomes a young-Zobrist-like WAR monster with 30+ HR power (won't happen due to playing time but he's made strides)
6. Lester has a huge bounceback and leads the team in fWAR (by performance). (He is not going to lead the team in fWAR but he's leading the starting rotation (though by default). Either way he has had a bounce back for now)
7. Schwarber breaks out and hits for enough average to put up a .950 OPS. (won't have a .950 OPS but has been a fairly stable presence despite recent slump and could have made the all star game...sort of like breaking out)
8. Lester pitches himself out of the rotation (if the regression monster ramps it up but due to the ineffectiveness of the staff as a whole is almost certainly not going to pitch bad enough)
8a. Hendricks pitches himself out of the rotation/Monty steps in (pretty much on level with Lester)
10/11. Darvish finishes top 2 in Cy Young/Chatwood figures it out (not going to happen)
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby Duke Silver » Thu Aug 02, 2018 5:50 pm

Duke Silver wrote:I'm glad you gave the Chatwood option so I didn't have to write it in.


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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby Sammy Sofa » Thu Aug 02, 2018 5:51 pm

I picked Lester pitching himself out of the rotation as my long shot, and I'm hanging ALL of my hats on that one to win the big money, baby. That time bomb his blown up, and blown up but good.
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby Ding Dong Johnson » Thu Aug 02, 2018 6:29 pm

David wrote:looking pretty safe to say that the best answer here was #2 with a bit of an asterisk

he didn't need to learn to walk a little. he does whatever the horsefeathers he wants.

rizzo still has a bit to go to get to 2 war
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Re: Which Crazy Surprise Things Will Happen?

Postby David » Thu Aug 02, 2018 6:50 pm

Ding Dong Johnson wrote:
David wrote:looking pretty safe to say that the best answer here was #2 with a bit of an asterisk

he didn't need to learn to walk a little. he does whatever the horsefeathers he wants.

rizzo still has a bit to go to get to 2 war


i feel safe in saying he'll be fine
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