Cubs Over/Under

Cubs Over/Under 84 wins. (Vegas Sportsbooks)

Over 84 Wins
46
88%
Under 84 Wins
6
12%
 
Total votes: 52

cubweiser03
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Cubs Over/Under

Postby cubweiser03 » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:01 pm

What Ticket do you buy? The over or under?
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Tim
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Tim » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:02 pm

cubweiser03 wrote:What Ticket do you buy? The over or under?

Easy over for me
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Bertz » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:13 pm

I am expecting over, even if we assume a KB trade. The chances of the bottom falling out of this team are much higher than they have been in a while, but my median expectation is still high 80's without KB and low 90's with.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby CyHawk_Cub » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:13 pm

Damn that O/U seems about right, but I'll say 'Over' with the hope the big 4 stays healthy, as does Yu and the bullpen sorts itself out quickly.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Cubswin11 » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:14 pm

Over pretty easily at that number for me.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby jersey cubs fan » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:30 pm

I haven't seen one that low yet
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Cubswin11 » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:37 pm

What book or site is offering this number, btw? I’ve only seen 88 and 88.5.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Derwood » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:39 pm

jersey cubs fan wrote:I haven't seen one that low yet


Someone (USA Today??) pegged them at 82 wins and 4th place
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby jersey cubs fan » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:45 pm

Derwood wrote:
jersey cubs fan wrote:I haven't seen one that low yet


Someone (USA Today??) pegged them at 82 wins and 4th place

I mean I haven't seen a betting line that low, I'm sure individuals will predict lower. That's a different story.
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Brian
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Brian » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:45 pm

I'm guessing the 84 mark is because that's what they got last year.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Ding Dong Johnson » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:47 pm

I'm going under because my negative vote alone will put them about 13 over that.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Sammy Sofa » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:58 pm

86 wins feels about right.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Cubswin11 » Tue Feb 04, 2020 10:11 pm

Sammy Sofa wrote:86 wins feels about right.

Yup. I think as of today between the Cubs, Brewers, Cardinals and Reds someone finishes in the 76-80 range, 2 finish in the 84-87 range and 1 gets to 90+. Whatever way you want to order the 4 I think has a fair argument. Stacking up wins vs the Pirates is going to be important.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Transmogrified Tiger » Tue Feb 04, 2020 10:36 pm

Cubswin11 wrote:
Sammy Sofa wrote:86 wins feels about right.

Yup. I think as of today between the Cubs, Brewers, Cardinals and Reds someone finishes in the 76-80 range, 2 finish in the 84-87 range and 1 gets to 90+. Whatever way you want to order the 4 I think has a fair argument. Stacking up wins vs the Pirates is going to be important.


To put a finer point on it, I would go as far to say that the Reds and Brewers will both be in the 78-82 range, and one of the Cubs/Cards will be 85-88 and the other will be 90+. I'm probably unjustifiably skeptical of both the Reds and Brewers though.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Cubswin11 » Tue Feb 04, 2020 10:45 pm

Transmogrified Tiger wrote:
Cubswin11 wrote:
Sammy Sofa wrote:86 wins feels about right.

Yup. I think as of today between the Cubs, Brewers, Cardinals and Reds someone finishes in the 76-80 range, 2 finish in the 84-87 range and 1 gets to 90+. Whatever way you want to order the 4 I think has a fair argument. Stacking up wins vs the Pirates is going to be important.


To put a finer point on it, I would go as far to say that the Reds and Brewers will both be in the 78-82 range, and one of the Cubs/Cards will be 85-88 and the other will be 90+. I'm probably unjustifiably skeptical of both the Reds and Brewers though.

I think that’s a fine critique. I’m honestly as skeptical on the Cardinals as I am the Reds and Brewers. I think the sub 80 win team(s) comes from those 3.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby soccer10k » Wed Feb 05, 2020 3:51 am

jersey cubs fan wrote:
Derwood wrote:
jersey cubs fan wrote:I haven't seen one that low yet


Someone (USA Today??) pegged them at 82 wins and 4th place

I mean I haven't seen a betting line that low, I'm sure individuals will predict lower. That's a different story.


Bovada was 85.5 earlier today. They took the over unders down now though, I assume because of the Betts trade.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby cubweiser03 » Fri Feb 07, 2020 3:38 pm

Westgate and Bookmaker have lines at 84.5
Im gonna smash the over, probably also do an under on the Cards.
Darvish at 30-1 cy young I think is a good number too. His 2nd half turnaround was amazing, don’t think that was a fluke.
I always do a Cubs World Series bet, that’s my ‘homer’ bet. Hey 2016 was a good $ win! I won’t be hitting that as hard as the O/U Win total
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby CubinNY » Thu Feb 13, 2020 2:10 pm

Transmogrified Tiger wrote:
Cubswin11 wrote:
Sammy Sofa wrote:86 wins feels about right.

Yup. I think as of today between the Cubs, Brewers, Cardinals and Reds someone finishes in the 76-80 range, 2 finish in the 84-87 range and 1 gets to 90+. Whatever way you want to order the 4 I think has a fair argument. Stacking up wins vs the Pirates is going to be important.


To put a finer point on it, I would go as far to say that the Reds and Brewers will both be in the 78-82 range, and one of the Cubs/Cards will be 85-88 and the other will be 90+. I'm probably unjustifiably skeptical of both the Reds and Brewers though.

I'm skeptical of the Cardinals and Brewers (especially the Brewers now that they can't relay signals at home games). I think the Reds are going to win the division. I think the Cubs will either push 90 wins or be a disaster by the trade deadline.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Bull » Mon Mar 02, 2020 3:19 pm

Michael Cerami makes a solid point on Cubs talk podcast (Jeff Nelson filling in for Kaplan). He says the Cubs will either win less than 75 or more than 95. If they're in the middle of the pack they will be sellers to get under the tax cap and position them to spend 2021. We all know the impact of three-peat luxury tax offense.

I'm not sure I agree with him in the final analysis. I think the guys that step in for Heyward, Chatwood, Willy or even Bryant will not be bad enough to turn an 85 win team into a 75 win team over the last two months of the season. But if you adjust that to either over 90 wins or under 80, I think he has a point.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby jersey cubs fan » Mon Mar 02, 2020 3:25 pm

Bull wrote:Michael Cerami makes a solid point on Cubs talk podcast (Jeff Nelson filling in for Kaplan). He says the Cubs will either win less than 75 or more than 95. If they're in the middle of the pack they will be sellers to get under the tax cap and position them to spend 2021. We all know the impact of three-peat luxury tax offense.

I'm not sure I agree with him in the final analysis. I think the guys that step in for Heyward, Chatwood, Willy or even Bryant will not be bad enough to turn an 85 win team into a 75 win team over the last two months of the season. But if you adjust that to either over 90 wins or under 80, I think he has a point.

Also Quintana. Once they get out of their top 5 rotation spots, they'll be throwing out some real stinkers who are going to get lit up.

But I don't see 95 wins on the upside.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby sneakypower » Mon Mar 02, 2020 4:14 pm

easy over
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby Bote McBoteface » Mon Mar 02, 2020 4:45 pm

I’d take the over if it was set at 92.
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Re: Cubs Over/Under

Postby CubinNY » Fri Mar 13, 2020 8:10 pm

I'm now going with the under on 90 wins.
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