2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Discussion about the June amateur draft, college baseball, high school baseball, etc.
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2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby CaliforniaRaisin » Mon Jun 03, 2019 11:12 pm

Every year, we do an actual draft day(s) thread. Post everything in here, I'll lock the other thread. I'll update this original post with Cubs' picks.

2019 Bonus Pool: $5,826,900
2019 Bonus Pool Including 5% Overage: $6,118,245
2019 Signings Charged to Bonus Pool: $4,251,300
2019 Bonus Pool Remaining (all top 10 rounds) Including 5% Overage: $1,865,580 (6 of 10 top 10 round picks have officially signed so far)

1.27: Ryan Jensen, RHP, Fresno State - MLB.com rank: 99, BA rank: 109, ESPN rank: 32; Signed for $2,000,000 (Pick Value: $2,570,100)
Fresno State has had its fair share of high profile draftees, most recently first rounders Taylor Ward in 2015 and, of course, Aaron Judge in 2013. The Bulldogs haven't had a pitcher go in the top five rounds in over a decade, with Tanner Scheppers and Justin Wilson both going that high in 2008. Both were starters in college and made it to the big leagues as relievers, a path Jensen could very well take after pitching well as Frenso State's Friday night starter this spring. Jensen has arm strength to spare, with a fastball that sits from 94-98 mph. He's able to maintain his velocity deep into his starts, showing plenty of 97-98 mph heaters in the seventh and eighth inning of his starts. When he finds his arm slot, it can have plus life, but he often loses it, causing it to be flat and very hittable. His slider will show flashes of being an above-average pitch, but it's not consistent. He does have an upper-80s changeup with some fade that might be average, but he doesn't use it much. Jensen has a tendency to over stride at times, which makes it tougher for him to repeat his delivery and command the baseball. With some effort to his delivery and an undersized frame, many see Jensen moving to the bullpen, with his power stuff playing up and allowing him to move more quickly. There is some feel for pitching here, so a team could send him out as a starter and see how it looks at the outset of his career.

2.64: Chase Strumpf, 2B, UCLA - MLB.com rank: 41, BA rank: 42, ESPN rank: 57; Signed for $1,050,300 (Pick Value: $1,050,300)
In 2017, Royce Lewis was the No. 1 overall pick in the Draft as a shortstop out of JSerra Catholic High School in California. Lewis didn't play shortstop until 2017 because he was blocked by Strumpf. Strumpf has since moved to second base at UCLA and, coming off a huge sophomore season that saw him lead the Bruins in a host of offensive categories, started slowly in his junior season but was starting to show the advanced bat that scouts saw the year prior as the Draft approached. It's Strumpf's hit tool that stands out. He can flat out rake with excellent strike zone discipline, showing the ability to barrel up the baseball consistently. While he doesn't have huge raw power, there's some definite thump from the right side of the plate and he can punish mistakes. While he was a shortstop in high school, he doesn't have the arm or speed to play there, but he should be a reliable defender at second base. It's the bat, though, that will get him drafted in the early rounds of the 2019 Draft. He profiles as an offensive-minded second baseman with some power, kind of like a right-handed version of Bruin product Kevin Kramer, who made his big league debut with the Pirates in 2018.

3.103: Michael McAvene, RHP, Louisville - MLB.com rank: 171, BA rank: 179 (Pick Value: $565,600)
The top pitcher in Louisville's 2016 recruiting class, McAvene was carving out a role as a freshman when he blew out his elbow in April. He returned to the mound a year later following Tommy John surgery and has emerged as the Cardinals' closer this spring. He offers additional intrigue because of the college relievers projected to go in the first five or six rounds, he might have the best chance to transition to starting in pro ball. Coming out of the bullpen, McAvene sits at 93-95 mph and can reach 96 with riding life on his four-seam fastball. He's doing a better job of generating velocity without overthrowing this spring, helping his ability to pound the bottom of the strike zone. He backs it up with a low-80s breaking ball that combines slider power with curveball depth. Both of McAvene's pitches grade as plus at their best, and he's throwing more strikes than ever. To succeed in a pro rotation, he'll need to develop a changeup after having little use for one to this point of his career. His strong 6-foot-3 frame is built for durability and his dramatically improved command bodes well for his future.

4.132: Chris Clarke, RHP, Southern California - BA rank: 216 (Pick Value: $426,600); Signed for $426,000
5.162: Josh Burgmann, RHP, Washington; Signed for $225,000 (Pick Value: $318,200)

After undergoing Tommy John surgery in 2017 -- his first year at the University of Washington -- Burgmann returned to throw 31 innings last season and struck out 101 batters over 79 frames this year. A sturdy righty with a strong build, Burgmann can reach 95 mph with his fastball, and he throws his above-average curveball often. He also has a good feel for his changeup, giving him a solid three-pitch foundation, but he needs to add movement to his heater and decrease his reliance on the hook.

6.192: Ethan Hearn, C, Mobile Christian School (AL) - MLB rank: 67; (Pick Value: $247,000)
Only two Alabama high school catchers ever have been selected in the first three rounds, and it hasn't happened in the last 50 years. Rated the top prep backstop in the 2019 Draft by some teams, Hearn could join James Kelly (Orioles, second round, 1966) and Lamar Johnson (White Sox, third, 1968) in that exclusive club. His talent and the relative lack of catching available this year is pushing him up boards. Hearn's two most impressive tools are his raw power and pure arm strength, both of which grade as plus. He's a left-handed hitter whose strength and aggressive, pull-oriented mindset give him plenty of pop to right field. He has a quick release on his throws and can record 1.9-second pop times to second base. A Mississippi State recruit, Hearn still requires some offensive and defensive polish. He needs to temper his approach at the plate because he doesn't always make consistent contact against quality pitching. He has improved as a receiver but still has more work to do and loses concentration more often than he should.

7.222: Brad Deppermann, RHP, North Florida; Signed for $50,000 (Pick Value: $194,400)
8.252: Davidjohn Herz, LHP, Terry Sanford HS (NC); Signed for $500,000 (Pick value: $162,700)

Herz succeeded Christian Jayne (now at East Carolina) as the quarterback and top baseball prospect at Sanford High (Fayetteville, N.C.) this spring. He has the most live arm in Tar Heel State's prep class, though there's debate as to his long-term role and whether he's signable away from a North Carolina commitment. Herz already can touch 95 mph with his fastball and popped 93s and 94s more frequently as the Draft approached. His heater has jumped about 5 mph from a year ago and could reside in the mid-90s if he continues to develop physically. He generates a lot of ugly swings with the lateral break on his low-80s slider but has yet to exhibit much feel for a changeup. While throwing across his body gives Herz some action on his pitches, it also costs him command. Some scouts look at the effort in his delivery and the length of his arm action and project him as a definite reliever. Others think he's athletic and strong enough to power through and make it as a starter.

9.282: Tyler Schlaffer, RHP, Homewood Flossmoor HS (IL) (Pick Value: $149,800)
10.312: Wyatt Hendrie, C, Antelope Valley CC (CA) (Pick Value: $142,200)
11.342:
12.372:
13.402:
14.432:
15.462:
16.492:
17.522:
18.552:
19.582:
20.612:
21.642:
22.672:
23.702:
24.732:
25.762:
26.792:
27.822:
28.852:
29.882:
30.912:
31.942:
32.972:
33.1002:
34.1032:
35.1062:
36.1092:
37.1122:
38.1152:
39.1182:
40.1212:
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Mon Jun 03, 2019 11:15 pm

Suggested non-firsts:

College bats:

Matt Dyer C
Corey Lee C
Drew Millas C
Nick Kahle C
Eli Wilson C
Thomas Dillard C/1B
Ivan Johnson IF
Tyler Fitzgerald IF
Brandon Lewis CIF
Zach Watson OF/2B
Matt Gorski OF
Allbry Major OF/P
Spencer Steer 3B/2B
Dominic Canzone OF
Tanner Morris SS/INF


HS pitchers:

Matthew Thompson RHP
Reggie Crawford LHP
Michael Proseky LHP
Riley Cornelio RHP
Alex McFarlane RHP
Sam Hliboki RHP
David Ramsey RHP

Michael Harris II LHP
Gavin Collyer RHP
Michael McLaughin RHP
Antoine Harris RHP

HS bats:

Glenallen Hill Jr. CF
Nasim Nunez SS/MIF
Matthew Lugo SS/IF
Mahki Backstrom 1B/OF
Garrett Frachette OF/1B
Yan Contreras IF - Would possibly try at C
Blaine McIntosh OF
Michael Curialle SS
Kurtis Byrne C
Myles Austin SS/OF
Damon Hale OF
Oliver Gatica OF

College arms:

Antoine Kelly LHP
Tony Locey RHP
Matt Canterino RHP
Ryne Nelson RHP
Zach Linginfelter RHP
Zach Hess RHP
Drake Fellows RHP
John Doxakis LHP
Noah Murdock RHP
Ricky DeVito RHP
Andrew Schultz RHP
Nick Bennett LHP
Connor Thomas LHP
Hayden Wesneski RHP
Jack Little RHP
Dalton Fowler LHP
Jacob Wallace RHP
JC Flowers RHP
Morgan McSweeney RHP
Xzavine Curry RHP
Pete Soporwoski LHP
Tevin Murray LHP
Hunter Gaddis RHP
Jack Owen LHP
Dray Jameson RHP
Evan Reifert RHP
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Regular Show » Mon Jun 03, 2019 11:18 pm

Adley Rutschman goes #1 to the Orioles like we all expected. I hope he gets almost the full signing bonus there because he deserves it.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Post Count Padder » Mon Jun 03, 2019 11:23 pm

Are you [expletive] me glenallen hill Jr is in this draft? God I'm old.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Regular Show » Mon Jun 03, 2019 11:28 pm

Jim Callis just comped Bobby Witt Jr. to the Royals as being as impactful as Patrick Mahomes to the KC Chiefs lol. He took it from another scout and liked it.

Yeah, I don't know about that...
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Tryptamine » Mon Jun 03, 2019 11:34 pm

Sadly the Sox made the right decision and took Vaughn.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:02 am

It took an hour for the first 7 picks to go as projected....Coolcoolcool, love this about the new MLB draft
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:08 am

Really strong pick by the Rangers

I imagine the Mets are seething over the Braves picking Langeliers
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Edith Cox » Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:19 am

Jim Callis has hit all 11 and has us with Davidson in his just before the draft mock.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Regular Show » Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:22 am

The draft is proceeding like we expected for the most part. It'll start getting more murky and unpredictable now.

Mets taking Brett Baty (good HS bat).
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Outshined_One » Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:29 am

TomtheBombadil wrote:It took an hour for the first 7 picks to go as projected....Coolcoolcool, love this about the new MLB draft


Remember when the draft was just a conference call that took roughly 45 minutes?
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Regular Show » Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:37 am

Outshined_One wrote:
TomtheBombadil wrote:It took an hour for the first 7 picks to go as projected....Coolcoolcool, love this about the new MLB draft


Remember when the draft was just a conference call that took roughly 45 minutes?


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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:38 am

Outshined_One wrote:Remember when the draft was just a conference call that took roughly 45 minutes?


Seriously, and it was working fine!
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby UMFan83 » Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:42 am

I know you draft guys know this already but crazy the DBacks have 6 of the first 75 picks. Their draft budget must be gigantic
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Regular Show » Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:42 am


That's pretty good lol.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Regular Show » Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:46 am

There goes one college bat (SS/2B Will Wilson) I like. Well, at least he didn't go to a team in the division.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Tryptamine » Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:57 am

Absolutely love Corbin Carroll. Dbacks got a steal.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Tue Jun 04, 2019 1:04 am

Tryptamine wrote:Absolutely love Corbin Carroll. Dbacks got a steal.


Agreed, I really like the fit too. He and Alek Thomas are going to be dynamic.

Rutledge is the first pick I’m truly meh on
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Tue Jun 04, 2019 1:08 am

Fun fact: Quinn Priester’s dad asked if his son had a legit shot at the first round in an early Spring FG chat. Congrats!
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Regular Show » Tue Jun 04, 2019 1:09 am

Players I like that are still available:

College bats:
Braden Shewmake
Michael Busch
Kody Hoese
Kam Misner (but I doubt we take him)

HS bats:
Matt Lugo
Nasim Nunez
Gunnar Henderson
Maurice Hampton
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Tue Jun 04, 2019 1:11 am

I’m not uninterested in Gunnar Henderson falling to the Cubs. If they think he can be a giant LHH SS...

Wow, Nats and Cards went boring
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Regular Show » Tue Jun 04, 2019 1:13 am


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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Tryptamine » Tue Jun 04, 2019 1:14 am

TomtheBombadil wrote:I’m not uninterested in Gunnar Henderson falling to the Cubs. If they think he can be a giant LHH SS...

Wow, Nats and Cards went boring


Pretty happy with that Card pick. I don't think that arm has much chance of holding up to a starter workload.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Tue Jun 04, 2019 1:19 am

Regular Show wrote:


Good. .166 IsoSLG in college PLUS no CCL? Meh, lets get some high ceiling
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Tue Jun 04, 2019 1:28 am

Welp, here’s the range where le Cubs might get sniped on Espino, Goss, or Malone (if they’re even being considered)
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