2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Discussion about the June amateur draft, college baseball, high school baseball, etc.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby CaliforniaRaisin » Tue Jun 04, 2019 11:34 pm

6th rounder Hearn was ranked 66th by BA:

66
Ethan Hearn
Mobile (Ala.) Christian HS C
Notes:

Ht: 6-1 | Wt: 195 | B-T: L-R
Commit/Drafted: Mississippi State
Scouting Report: The first-team catcher on BA’s Preseason All-American team, Hearn is a 6-foot, 195-pound backstop with a big arm and raw power out of a physical lefthanded swing. He has plenty of muscle in his frame, which helps him defensively, where he has plus arm strength and flashes plus pop times around 1.9 seconds in warmups. While scouts praise his defensive potential, there have been questions raised about his mobility behind the plate and the fact that he’ll need to polish his receiving skills. However, scouts believe his mental toughness and intense work ethic will suit him well as he moves up the ladder and has to incorporate more details into his game from a mechanical standpoint and in regards to leading a pitching staff. Offensively, Hearn is more power over hit at the moment, with above-average raw power but a below-average hit tool. With the chance to be an above-average or even plus defender depending on his development, Hearn’s power gives him the chance to be a solid everyday catcher in the current major league environment. Hearn is a Mississippi State commit, but as the best prep catching prospect in the class—which is the one of the riskiest demographics in the draft—he might not make it to Starkville.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby CaliforniaRaisin » Tue Jun 04, 2019 11:35 pm

8th rounder DJ Herz was ranked 243rd by BA:

243
D.J. Herz
Terry Sanford HS, Fayetteville, N.C. LHP
Notes:

Ht: 6-1 | Wt: 175 | B-T: R-L
Commit/Drafted: North Carolina
Scouting Report: An athletic, multi-sport athlete committed to North Carolina, Herz played basketball and was a quarterback on his football team, but has upside as a lefthanded pitcher on the diamond. A hard-throwing lefthander, Herz has been up into the mid-90s this spring, but normally settles into the 88-91 mph range, with a below-average arm action and delivery. Last summer at East Coast Pro, Herz threw out of a funky, crossfire delivery and opened up at 87-90 mph, but ticked the velocity up as his outing progressed. Scouts seem split on the quality of his breaking ball, as some have seen a sharp slider that projects as a solid-average offering, while others have serious questions about his feel to spin. Either way, the pitch lacks consistency at the moment, and Herz will also need to improve his strike throwing.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby CaliforniaRaisin » Tue Jun 04, 2019 11:35 pm

10th rounder Wyatt Hendrie was ranked 357th by BA:

357
Wyatt Hendrie
Antelope Valley (Calif.) JC C
Notes:

Ht: 5-11 | Wt: 200 | B-T: R-R
Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted
Scouting Report: Hendrie popped up in a weak California junior college crop as an athletic catcher with advanced defensive skills. Hendrie is short but solid at 5-foot-10, 200 pounds, has a plus arm and is the rare catcher who is an above-average runner. His receiving is still a bit rigid because he is new to catching after primarily playing the outfield in high school, but he has the ingredients to project as an average or better defensive catcher. Hendrie is a contact hitter with a flat swing who hit .410/.479/.660. He controls the barrel and manages the strike zone well, but his power projection is limited because his swing is very compact. Hendrie is considered signable and projects to go late on the draft’s second day or early on the third day.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Post Count Padder » Wed Jun 05, 2019 12:47 am

Nice get with Hearn. So 7 pitchers, 1 infielder and 2 catchers? Interesting. And those 8-10 rounders seems like severe underslots so I'd guess we have some more money to play with yes?
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Regular Show » Wed Jun 05, 2019 1:49 am




I don't know why anyone would think this guy is an underslot deal... Yeah, he did go in the 9th round, but HS pitchers usually sign slot or overslot deals. The kid has some talent and I honestly have no clue how much it'll take to sign him, but it won't be at slot value at #282 ($149,800).
Last edited by Regular Show on Wed Jun 05, 2019 7:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Regular Show » Wed Jun 05, 2019 3:58 am

From the latest Klaw chat:

Bob Pollard: What are your thoughts on the Cubs #1 pick, not so much his ability but was he selected in the appropriate spot?
Keith Law: I had him ranked 32nd in the class, and they took him 27th.


Clay, Rutherford, NJ: Are the Cubs looking for 2019 bullpen help through the draft?
Keith Law: I believe they’re looking for 2020 bullpen help.


RJS: I’m sensing a theme among the Cubs picks so far, and I can’t say I’m disappointed. Fair to suggest they’ll try most of the pitchers taken through 5th round as starters or might McAvene stay in the pen and try to move up quickly that way? Thanks for the chats, KLaw.
Keith Law: McAvene has three pitches to start, but that does change his time frame and they may choose to move him faster as a reliever.


Aaron C.: You’ve called this the “worst pitching draft” in your 18 years involved with it. So, what year got dethroned, sir?
Keith Law: I’d have to think about that one; this is substantially worse than any I can remember. The 2006 draft felt that way at the time, but produced Kershaw and Lincecum.
Keith Law: Sorry, 2006 felt like a weak pitching draft, not as weak as this year’s though.


Dave: How should college baseball deal with pitcher overuse? Pitch counts? Appearance caps? Because we see yet more gross overuse again this postseason.
Keith Law: MLB should pull any support for college baseball until the NCAA agrees to abide by PitchSmart guidelines, including changing the draft rules to make players eligible at any time (after their freshman or sophomore years) unless the NCAA relents. MLB has all the leverage here.


Totally agree on changing that and letting players leave after their freshman or sophomore year if they feel they're ready. I'm noticing some top prospects (like Carter Stewart) going the JC route so they can re-enter the draft the following year. It's unfair that top prospects waste some of their top earning years down the road by staying in college for 2/3 years.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Wed Jun 05, 2019 2:30 pm

Hot takes so far on the Cubs draft:

- The only two I give even a half serious shot to start at the highest level off of first impressions are Jensen and the lefty

- Oh yay, multiple pitchers with TJ surgery under their belts already! That’s so good because it’s already out of the way and these guys can develop to their heart’s content!

- Schlaffer showing off some strength, athleticism, and arm speed here:



- Impressed they found a half decent, projectable, athletic prep lefty in a class with like three of them

- If Hearn and the 7/2 catcher they’re tied to sign, the Cubs will have added two bat first LHH catchers to the system. That’s interesting/notable because LHH catchers aren’t common even before getting to the ones who can actually hit. What’s it been - Jason Kendall, Mauer, and Jason Castro at the ML level over the past couple decades? Very tiny group of players
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Wed Jun 05, 2019 2:42 pm

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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Wed Jun 05, 2019 4:27 pm

Mack Chambers...18 YO switch hitting IF out of Seminole JC, son of a coach, did really well in his lone season
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby texascub » Wed Jun 05, 2019 4:41 pm

12th rounder is Hunter Bigge, RHP from Harvard.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:11 pm

They took another switch hitter, Ryan Reynolds, from Texas. He went back to switch hitting after hitting RH in 2018 and had his best offensive season in college while cutting his K rate almost 10%, finished with a 1:1 K/BB

He’s also the son of former Astros pitcher Shane Reynolds
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Brian » Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:32 pm

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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Tryptamine » Wed Jun 05, 2019 6:04 pm

Cubs have signed 6th round pick Hearns for 2nd round money.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Wed Jun 05, 2019 6:05 pm

Without knowing what the injury is that kept him to 12 innings this year, I like the Adam Laskey pick. He was a strong prospect for a NJ guy coming out of HS, has some arm strength, and can spin the ball. He won the CCL pitcher of the year award last summer, that’s also nice
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby texascub » Wed Jun 05, 2019 6:10 pm

Yankees take Jack Leiter in the 20th round.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby TomtheBombadil » Wed Jun 05, 2019 7:38 pm

I like the Darius Hill pick. 21 YO senior CF for WVU, started all four years and hit .322/.375/.480 in over 1000 PAs with a 10% K rate

Grayson Byrd is Paul Byrd’s kid, broke out last year for Clemson (.421 wOBA) as the 6’3” 2B in their giant MIF

Mets and Braves took Blaine McIntosh and Mahki Backstrom in the 13th and 18th, respectively. The Giants took Garrett Frechette all the way in the 5th so I’d guess he is the most likely to sign. Sucks that Cubs couldn’t get one or Glenallen Hill Jr
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby CaliforniaRaisin » Wed Jun 05, 2019 7:58 pm

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Re: RE: Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby We Got The Whole 9 » Wed Jun 05, 2019 8:17 pm

TomtheBombadil wrote:Hot takes so far on the Cubs draft:

- The only two I give even a half serious shot to start at the highest level off of first impressions are Jensen and the lefty

- Oh yay, multiple pitchers with TJ surgery under their belts already! That’s so good because it’s already out of the way and these guys can develop to their heart’s content!

- Schlaffer showing off some strength, athleticism, and arm speed here:



- Impressed they found a half decent, projectable, athletic prep lefty in a class with like three of them

- If Hearn and the 7/2 catcher they’re tied to sign, the Cubs will have added two bat first LHH catchers to the system. That’s interesting/notable because LHH catchers aren’t common even before getting to the ones who can actually hit. What’s it been - Jason Kendall, Mauer, and Jason Castro at the ML level over the past couple decades? Very tiny group of players
Kendall was RH, FWIW
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby jersey cubs fan » Wed Jun 05, 2019 8:35 pm

CaliforniaRaisin wrote:I'll update this original post with Cubs' picks.

1.27: Ryan Jensen, RHP, Fresno State - MLB.com rank: 99, BA rank: 109; (Pick Value: $2,570,100)

2.64: Chase Strumpf, 2B, UCLA - MLB.com rank: 41, BA rank: 42, ESPN rank: 57; (Pick Value: $1,050,300)

3.103: Michael McAvene, RHP, Louisville - MLB.com rank: 171, BA rank: 179 (Pick Value: $565,600)

4.132: Chris Clarke, RHP, Southern California - BA rank: 216 (Pick Value: $426,600)
5.162: (Pick Value: $318,200)
6.192: (Pick Value: $247,000)
7.222: (Pick Value: $194,400)
8.252: (Pick value: $162,700)
9.282: (Pick Value: $149,800)
10.312: (Pick Value: $142,200)
11.342:
12.372:
13.402:
14.432:
15.462:
16.492:
17.522:
18.552:
19.582:
20.612:
21.642:
22.672:
23.702:
24.732:
25.762:
26.792:
27.822:
28.852:
29.882:
30.912:
31.942:
32.972:
33.1002:
34.1032:
35.1062:
36.1092:
37.1122:
38.1152:
39.1182:
40.1212:

LIAR
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Tim » Wed Jun 05, 2019 11:39 pm

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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby Regular Show » Thu Jun 06, 2019 1:50 am



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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby craig » Thu Jun 06, 2019 3:54 am

CaliforniaRaisin wrote:8th rounder DJ Herz was ranked 243rd by BA:

....has been up into the mid-90s this spring, but normally settles into the 88-91 mph range, with a below-average arm action and delivery. Last summer at East Coast Pro, Herz threw out of a funky, crossfire delivery and opened up at 87-90 mph, but ticked the velocity up as his outing progressed. ....some have seen a sharp slider that projects as a solid-average offering, while others have serious questions about his feel to spin. Either way, the pitch lacks consistency at the moment, and Herz will also need to improve his strike throwing.


With all the "pitch lab will magically cure everybody" optimism from the Athletic, Herz sounds like the prototype for a pitch-lab project. If he's athletic and can throw hard already sometimes, the pitch lab seems exactly the sort of thing to help him figure out how he's doing it on the uncommon occasions that he does throw hard. And if he sometimes throws a sharp slider, lab might hopefully help him figure out how to lock into the good version. Sounds like a really fun, interesting developmental project for the development people.

Will be curious how much superslot he gets?
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby craig » Thu Jun 06, 2019 3:55 am

TomtheBombadil wrote:I’m totally cool with how this draft is going if they sign Kimbrel. Otherwise this is pretty boring


Tom is totally cool!
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby WrigleyField 22 » Thu Jun 06, 2019 3:59 am

Regular Show wrote:


Damn I was really hoping 5'1" wasn't a typo.
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Re: 2019 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

Postby craig » Thu Jun 06, 2019 4:17 am

Tryptamine wrote:Cubs have signed 6th round pick Hearns for 2nd round money.


Not to be overly nit-picky, but I think they have "agreed" as opposed to "signed". I believe that means they have agreed to what the deal will be, continent on other guys signing.

But, basically they won't want to actually contractually sign a super-slot guy until the sub-slot guys have actually passed their physicals and actually signed their deals to the agreed-upon underslots. The slot and sub-slot guys can sign as soon as they want (and pass their physicals), but superslots need to wait for the discretionary money to become available.
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