gobigred wrote:there is no guarantee to even make the playoffs...i get that no one in the NL is very good but at the same time if a couple of teams get hot the Cubs can quickly go from the top to the outside looking in
I get the 'anything can happen' mentality, and trust me, I'd much rather be 15 games up. But right now Fangraphs has us at 96% to make the playoffs. For as much as we've 'sucked' in the second half, the Brewers have made up all of a half game in 3 weeks. There's far more evidence that says we should be start playing better than there is for pretty much every other team we'd have to worry about. It's not locked up, but we'd be the favorites if everyone was starting from the same spot. Giving us a head start makes it even more likely.