Beat 538 NFL Forecasts

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WrigleyField 22
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Beat 538 NFL Forecasts

Postby WrigleyField 22 » Tue Sep 18, 2018 6:04 pm

Not exactly fantasy, but close enough. Anyone else doing this?

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... ting-game/

I'm somehow in the 90th percentile in rankings right now, but its basically purely luck/intuition at this point as I haven't used spreads or anything else to educate my guesses. Still, gives another fun thing to track during the games on Sunday.
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Brian707
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Re: Beat 538 NFL Forecasts

Postby Brian707 » Tue Sep 18, 2018 9:10 pm

WrigleyField 22 wrote:Not exactly fantasy, but close enough. Anyone else doing this?

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... ting-game/

I'm somehow in the 90th percentile in rankings right now, but its basically purely luck/intuition at this point as I haven't used spreads or anything else to educate my guesses. Still, gives another fun thing to track during the games on Sunday.



That is pretty cool. BTW 538 is very down on the Bears, have them as underdogs this week as well as vs Seattle.
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JudasIscariotTheBird
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Re: Beat 538 NFL Forecasts

Postby JudasIscariotTheBird » Tue Sep 18, 2018 9:23 pm

Brian707 wrote:
WrigleyField 22 wrote:Not exactly fantasy, but close enough. Anyone else doing this?

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... ting-game/

I'm somehow in the 90th percentile in rankings right now, but its basically purely luck/intuition at this point as I haven't used spreads or anything else to educate my guesses. Still, gives another fun thing to track during the games on Sunday.



That is pretty cool. BTW 538 is very down on the Bears, have them as underdogs this week as well as vs Seattle.

538's ELO ratings are NON SENSE.
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WrigleyField 22
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Re: Beat 538 NFL Forecasts

Postby WrigleyField 22 » Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:59 pm

JudasIscariotTheBird wrote:
Brian707 wrote:
WrigleyField 22 wrote:Not exactly fantasy, but close enough. Anyone else doing this?

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... ting-game/

I'm somehow in the 90th percentile in rankings right now, but its basically purely luck/intuition at this point as I haven't used spreads or anything else to educate my guesses. Still, gives another fun thing to track during the games on Sunday.



That is pretty cool. BTW 538 is very down on the Bears, have them as underdogs this week as well as vs Seattle.

538's ELO ratings are NON SENSE.

I believe at this point they are still heavily weighted by last years scores.
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Re: Beat 538 NFL Forecasts

Postby JudasIscariotTheBird » Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:09 pm

WrigleyField 22 wrote:
JudasIscariotTheBird wrote:
Brian707 wrote:

That is pretty cool. BTW 538 is very down on the Bears, have them as underdogs this week as well as vs Seattle.

538's ELO ratings are NON SENSE.

I believe at this point they are still heavily weighted by last years scores.

Correct.
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